Football · Australia Queensland Premier League · 01/08, 10:00

Prediction: Redlands United vs Caboolture FC

Team pages: Redlands United · Caboolture FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.95Total

Redlands United1.99

Caboolture FC1.96

1X2

39% 23% 38%

Redlands United Draw Caboolture FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Redlands United 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWLWDD

Caboolture FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLDLL

Head-to-head

Redlands United 3–2 Caboolture FC (5 last)

Caboolture FC4-2Redlands United
Caboolture FC2-7Redlands United
Redlands United1-4Caboolture FC
Redlands United4-1Caboolture FC
Caboolture FC1-6Redlands United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Redlands United 1537 · Caboolture FC 1461

	Redlands United	Draw	Caboolture FC
Our model	39%	22%	38%
Market	39%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Redlands United (rating 1537 vs 1461).
H2H favours Redlands United: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Redlands United	Caboolture FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.7	1.6 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.80

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
08:02 +8’	2.30	3.80	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Redlands United 3–0–2 Caboolture FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League	Caboolture FC	4-2 HT 1-2	Redlands United
09/08/25 Australia Queensland Premier League	Caboolture FC	2-7 HT 2-4	Redlands United
06/05/25 Australia Queensland Premier League	Redlands United	1-4 HT 0-1	Caboolture FC
09/07/22 Australia Queensland Premier League	Redlands United	4-1 HT 1-0	Caboolture FC
09/04/22 Australia Queensland Premier League	Caboolture FC	1-6 HT 1-2	Redlands United

Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brisbane Strikers	19	15	3	1	46	15	48
2	Broadbeach United	19	14	4	1	48	18	46
3	Ipswich FC	19	9	4	6	32	29	31
4	Sunshine Coast Wanderers	19	8	6	5	38	26	30
5	Robina City	19	8	5	6	31	21	29
6	Caboolture FC	19	8	3	8	35	32	27
7	Redlands United	19	7	5	7	36	33	26
8	Logan Lightning	19	7	3	9	35	37	24
9	Holland Park Hawks	19	7	3	9	29	36	24
10	St George Willawong FC	19	4	1	14	11	41	13
11	North Star	19	3	3	13	18	40	12
12	Capalaba FC	19	3	2	14	20	51	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Redlands United	Caboolture FC
Robina City	1-1 D	1-0 W
Capalaba FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Logan Lightning	1-5 L	3-1 W
Ipswich FC	5-0 W	1-2 L
St George Willawong FC	3-0 W	0-1 L
Broadbeach United	0-2 L	1-1 D
Brisbane Strikers	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Caboolture FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Redlands United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
11/07	Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	1-1	10	4	D
04/07	North Star Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
30/06	Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League	1-3	1-5	0	2	L
26/06	Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League	3-0	4-1	3	4	W
20/06	Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	5-0	7	5	W
07/06	St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
23/05	Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	0-2	3	0	L
08/05	Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
25/04	Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League	2-1	2-4	0	5	L

Caboolture FC

WWWLLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
15/07	Brisbane Roar Australia Friendlies	0-2	0-3	3	2	L
11/07	Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
03/07	Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	1-2	1	6	L
27/06	Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
19/06	Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League	1-1	1-2	3	10	L
06/06	Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	1-2	1	4	L
30/05	Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
26/05	AC Carina Australia Cup Qualifying	2-0	4-0	3	2	W
24/05	Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Redlands United vs Caboolture FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Redlands United win (39%). Probabilities: Redlands United 39%, draw 23%, Caboolture FC 38%.

How many goals are expected in Redlands United vs Caboolture FC?

The model expects 3.95 goals (Redlands United 1.99 · Caboolture FC 1.96), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Redlands United vs Caboolture FC?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.