Football · Australia Queensland Premier League · 01/08, 08:00
Prediction: Holland Park Hawks vs Robina City
Team pages: Holland Park Hawks · Robina City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Holland Park Hawks1.12
Robina City1.77
1X2
Holland Park Hawks
Draw
Robina City
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Holland Park Hawks
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Robina City
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Holland Park Hawks
0–1
Robina City
(1 last)
- Robina City1-0Holland Park Hawks
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Holland Park Hawks 1467 · Robina City 1539
| Holland Park Hawks | Draw | Robina City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 26% | 52% |
| Market | 25% | 21% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Robina City (rating 1467 vs 1539).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Holland Park Hawks | Robina City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4 | 3.3 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Holland Park Hawks 0–0–1 Robina City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | Robina City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Holland Park Hawks |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Strikers | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | Broadbeach United | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 48 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Ipswich FC | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 31 |
| 4 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 26 | 30 |
| 5 | Robina City | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 29 |
| 6 | Caboolture FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 32 | 27 |
| 7 | Redlands United | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 26 |
| 8 | Logan Lightning | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 37 | 24 |
| 9 | Holland Park Hawks | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 36 | 24 |
| 10 | St George Willawong FC | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 13 |
| 11 | North Star | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 12 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 20 | 51 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Holland Park Hawks | Robina City |
|---|---|---|
| Capalaba FC | 0-3 L | 5-1 W |
| Ipswich FC | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| Redlands United | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Logan Lightning | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| St George Willawong FC | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Broadbeach United | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Brisbane Strikers | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Robina City (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Holland Park Hawks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
Robina City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/06 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
4-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/06 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Holland Park Hawks vs Robina City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Robina City win (53%). Probabilities: Holland Park Hawks 24%, draw 23%, Robina City 53%.
How many goals are expected in Holland Park Hawks vs Robina City?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Holland Park Hawks 1.12 · Robina City 1.77), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Holland Park Hawks vs Robina City?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.