Football · Australia Queensland Premier League · 01/08, 10:00
Prediction: Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Ipswich FC
Team pages: Sunshine Coast Wanderers · Ipswich FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.6Total
Sunshine Coast Wanderers2.05
Ipswich FC1.55
1X2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Draw
Ipswich FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Ipswich FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0–1–0
Ipswich FC
(1 last)
- Ipswich FC1-1Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1523 · Ipswich FC 1476
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers | Draw | Ipswich FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 23% | 28% |
| Market | 49% | 22% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sunshine Coast Wanderers (rating 1523 vs 1476).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers | Ipswich FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0–1–0 Ipswich FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | Ipswich FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Strikers | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | Broadbeach United | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 48 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Ipswich FC | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 31 |
| 4 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 26 | 30 |
| 5 | Robina City | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 29 |
| 6 | Caboolture FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 32 | 27 |
| 7 | Redlands United | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 26 |
| 8 | Logan Lightning | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 37 | 24 |
| 9 | Holland Park Hawks | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 36 | 24 |
| 10 | St George Willawong FC | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 13 |
| 11 | North Star | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 12 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 20 | 51 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | Ipswich FC |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Brisbane Strikers | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Caboolture FC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Robina City | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| North Star | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| St George Willawong FC | 8-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Holland Park Hawks | 2-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Broadbeach United | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/06 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Ipswich FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Brisbane Roar Australia Friendlies |
– | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 03/07 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Ipswich FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sunshine Coast Wanderers win (49%). Probabilities: Sunshine Coast Wanderers 49%, draw 23%, Ipswich FC 29%.
How many goals are expected in Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Ipswich FC?
The model expects 3.6 goals (Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2.05 · Ipswich FC 1.55), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Ipswich FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.