Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 26/10, 18:00

Prediction: Oppsal vs Lyn 1896 II

Team pages: Oppsal · Lyn 1896 II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

Oppsal2.63

Lyn 1896 II1.35

1X2

64% 19% 17%

Oppsal Draw Lyn 1896 II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Oppsal 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWLLL

Lyn 1896 II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDLDLW

Head-to-head

Oppsal 0–1–0 Lyn 1896 II (1 last)

Lyn 1896 II2-2Oppsal

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oppsal 1479 · Lyn 1896 II 1473

	Oppsal	Draw	Lyn 1896 II
Our model	64%	19%	17%
Market	64%	19%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oppsal	Lyn 1896 II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.8	1.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.8 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	2 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.75

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.98

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 17:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.40▼	Bet365 1.40
X	5.00 → 4.75▼	Pinn 5.30 ★
2	4.50 → 5.25▲	Pinn 5.61

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:58 +3’	1.44	5.00	4.50
15:02 +2’	1.33▼	5.25▲	5.75▲
16:56 +6’	1.40▲	4.75▼	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:11 +50’	1.98	3.79	2.79
08:35 +27’	1.48▼	4.29▲	4.08▲
09:53 +9’	1.32▼	4.80▲	5.26▲
10:59 +2’	1.30▼	4.81▲	5.33▲
14:01 +1’	1.32▲	5.14▲	5.39▲
16:03 +1’	1.33▲	5.28▲	5.54▲
16:59 +4’	1.33▼	5.30▲	5.61▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oppsal 0–1–0 Lyn 1896 II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Lyn 1896 II	2-2 HT 0-1	Oppsal

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	25	19	2	4	91	35	59
2	Elverum	25	17	2	6	71	40	53
3	Rade IL	25	14	4	7	86	41	46
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	25	14	2	9	44	24	44
5	Drøbak/Frogn	25	12	5	8	56	36	41
6	Ørn Horten	25	11	5	9	46	39	38
7	Rælingen	25	11	5	9	49	55	38
8	Lyn 1896 II	24	10	4	10	53	52	34
9	Oppsal	24	10	3	11	40	38	33
10	Sandefjord 2	24	10	3	11	54	53	33
11	Sarpsborg 2	24	9	5	10	58	54	32
12	Fram	25	8	5	12	46	55	29
13	Brumunddal	25	3	3	19	26	109	12
14	Bjørkelangen	25	1	0	24	17	106	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oppsal	Lyn 1896 II
Gjøvik-Lyn	0-1 L	0-2 L
Drøbak/Frogn	1-2 L	1-4 L
Lillehammer	2-4 L	1-4 L
Ørn Horten	2-0 W	3-1 W
Fram	6-3 W	4-3 W
Sandefjord 2	1-2 L	4-3 W
Rælingen	0-1 L	0-1 L
Elverum	0-4 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Oppsal (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oppsal

WLLLWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
10/10	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-2	2	1	L
03/10	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
26/09	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
19/09	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
12/09	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	6-3	5	2	W
05/09	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
30/08	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
15/08	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
08/08	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-0	8	2	W

Lyn 1896 II

WLWLLDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
12/10	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-3	3-4	–	–	L
05/10	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
28/09	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
21/09	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
12/09	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
07/09	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	1-4	1	4	L
31/08	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-2	4-3	1	4	W
17/08	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-3	1-4	2	2	L
10/08	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-3	4-3	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oppsal vs Lyn 1896 II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oppsal win (64%). Probabilities: Oppsal 64%, draw 19%, Lyn 1896 II 17%.

How many goals are expected in Oppsal vs Lyn 1896 II?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Oppsal 2.63 · Lyn 1896 II 1.35), with a 55% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Oppsal vs Lyn 1896 II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.