Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 01/11, 12:00

Prediction: Sarpsborg 2 vs Elverum

Team pages: Sarpsborg 2 · Elverum

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.44Total

Sarpsborg 22.24

Elverum2.2

1X2

40% 21% 39%

Sarpsborg 2 Draw Elverum

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Sarpsborg 2 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWLDWL

Elverum 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Sarpsborg 2 0–1 Elverum (1 last)

Elverum3-1Sarpsborg 2

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elverum (rating 1511 vs 1559).
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sarpsborg 2	Elverum
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 2.1	3.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 1.2	1.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.9	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.88

Under 4.251.83

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:03

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.25 → 4.11▲	Pinn 4.11
X	4.05 → 4.38▲	Pinn 4.38
2	1.77 → 1.54▼	Pinn 1.54

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
01:58 +6’	3.25	4.05	1.77
02:29 +34’	4.11▲	4.38▲	1.54▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sarpsborg 2 0–0–1 Elverum

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Elverum	3-1 HT 1-1	Sarpsborg 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	25	19	2	4	91	35	59
2	Elverum	25	17	2	6	71	40	53
3	Rade IL	26	14	4	8	86	42	46
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	25	14	2	9	44	24	44
5	Drøbak/Frogn	25	12	5	8	56	36	41
6	Oppsal	26	12	3	11	44	38	39
7	Ørn Horten	25	11	5	9	46	39	38
8	Rælingen	25	11	5	9	49	55	38
9	Sandefjord 2	25	11	3	11	57	55	36
10	Lyn 1896 II	25	10	4	11	53	55	34
11	Sarpsborg 2	25	9	5	11	60	57	32
12	Fram	25	8	5	12	46	55	29
13	Brumunddal	25	3	3	19	26	109	12
14	Bjørkelangen	25	1	0	24	17	106	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sarpsborg 2	Elverum
Sandefjord 2	2-3 L	3-4 L
Bjørkelangen	7-0 W	5-0 W
Rælingen	1-1 D	4-1 W
Drøbak/Frogn	1-4 L	3-1 W
Gjøvik-Lyn	3-2 W	3-0 W
Lyn 1896 II	2-2 D	4-3 W
Lillehammer	3-1 W	4-3 W
Rade IL	3-2 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Elverum (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sarpsborg 2

LWWWDWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	2-3	2	5	L
19/10	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	7-0	7	2	W
12/10	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
03/10	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	1-4	–	–	L
26/09	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-2	3-2	4	3	W
21/09	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
12/09	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-1	3-1	1	6	W
07/09	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-2	4-3	1	4	W
31/08	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-2	3-2	7	4	W
17/08	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	0-3	2	2	L

Elverum

WWDLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
17/10	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	3-1	1	3	W
12/10	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-1	4-3	–	–	W
03/10	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	5-0	–	–	W
26/09	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-3	3-4	6	3	L
19/09	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	4-1	7	2	W
12/09	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	2-4	7	2	L
05/09	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/08	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	4-3	4-3	–	–	W
15/08	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-0	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sarpsborg 2 vs Elverum?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sarpsborg 2 win (40%). Probabilities: Sarpsborg 2 40%, draw 21%, Elverum 39%.

How many goals are expected in Sarpsborg 2 vs Elverum?

The model expects 4.44 goals (Sarpsborg 2 2.24 · Elverum 2.2), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sarpsborg 2 vs Elverum?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.