Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 31/10, 14:30

Prediction: Rade IL vs Oppsal

Team pages: Rade IL · Oppsal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.87Total

Rade IL2.64

Oppsal1.24

1X2

67% 17% 16%

Rade IL Draw Oppsal

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Rade IL 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLDWWL

Oppsal 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLLLW

Head-to-head

Rade IL 0–1 Oppsal (1 last)

Oppsal1-0Rade IL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rade IL 1509 · Oppsal 1489

	Rade IL	Draw	Oppsal
Our model	67%	18%	15%
Market	68%	16%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.87 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rade IL	Oppsal
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.4	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.9	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.8	1.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.75

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.93

2 (+1.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 12:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.33▼	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.75▲	Bet365 5.75
2	5.25 → 5.50▲	Pinn 6.22 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:15 +15’	1.38	5.00	5.25
21:34 +11’	1.36▼	5.00	5.50▲
09:32 +22’	1.40▲	5.25▲	5.00▼
11:54 +15’	1.33▼	5.75▲	5.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:08 +27’	1.34	5.09	5.70
05:36 +23’	1.30▼	5.20▲	6.02▲
08:13	1.28▼	5.47▲	6.19▲
09:28 +27’	1.27▼	5.53▲	6.22▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rade IL 0–0–1 Oppsal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Oppsal	1-0 HT 0-0	Rade IL

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	25	19	2	4	91	35	59
2	Elverum	25	17	2	6	71	40	53
3	Rade IL	25	14	4	7	86	41	46
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	25	14	2	9	44	24	44
5	Drøbak/Frogn	25	12	5	8	56	36	41
6	Ørn Horten	25	11	5	9	46	39	38
7	Rælingen	25	11	5	9	49	55	38
8	Oppsal	25	11	3	11	43	38	36
9	Sandefjord 2	25	11	3	11	57	55	36
10	Lyn 1896 II	25	10	4	11	53	55	34
11	Sarpsborg 2	25	9	5	11	60	57	32
12	Fram	25	8	5	12	46	55	29
13	Brumunddal	25	3	3	19	26	109	12
14	Bjørkelangen	25	1	0	24	17	106	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rade IL	Oppsal
Ørn Horten	0-1 L	2-0 W
Brumunddal	14-0 W	2-1 W
Sandefjord 2	2-0 W	1-2 L
Lyn 1896 II	0-0 D	3-0 W
Lillehammer	1-5 L	2-4 L
Fram	1-1 D	6-3 W
Elverum	4-2 W	0-4 L
Gjøvik-Lyn	2-0 W	0-1 L
Drøbak/Frogn	3-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Rade IL (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rade IL

WLWWDLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-1	12	2	L
17/10	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	4-0	14-0	–	–	W
12/10	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	2-0	4	8	W
05/10	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
26/09	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
19/09	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	4-2	3	2	W
05/09	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	2-0	5	2	W
31/08	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-3	2-3	6	4	L
15/08	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	3-2	–	–	W

Oppsal

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
17/10	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
10/10	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-2	2	1	L
03/10	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
26/09	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
19/09	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
12/09	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	6-3	5	2	W
05/09	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
30/08	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
15/08	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-3	0-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rade IL vs Oppsal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rade IL win (67%). Probabilities: Rade IL 67%, draw 17%, Oppsal 16%.

How many goals are expected in Rade IL vs Oppsal?

The model expects 3.87 goals (Rade IL 2.64 · Oppsal 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Rade IL vs Oppsal?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.