Prediction: Gjøvik-Lyn vs Rade IL

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Gjøvik-Lyn1.61
Rade IL1.48
1X2
40% 25% 35%
Gjøvik-Lyn Draw Rade IL
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gjøvik-Lyn 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWDDWW
Rade IL 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gjøvik-Lyn 1549 · Rade IL 1544
Gjøvik-LynDrawRade IL
Our model40%26%34%
Market41%24%35%
Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Gjøvik-LynRade IL
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.53.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.31.3 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.62.1 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 02.9 / 0

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lillehammer 12921 481729
2 Gjøvik-Lyn 12822 17526
3 Rade IL 12714 452522
4 Elverum 12714 291922
5 Sandefjord 2 12615 332519
6 Oppsal 12615 211619
7 Ørn Horten 12543 231919
8 Lyn 1896 II 12615 242519
9 Rælingen 12525 253317
10 Drøbak/Frogn 12444 171516
11 Sarpsborg 2 12327 193111
12 Fram 12237 15279
13 Brumunddal 12228 14418
14 Bjørkelangen 121011 9413

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGjøvik-LynRade IL
Ørn Horten 3-0 W 1-1 D
Drøbak/Frogn 0-0 D 2-1 W
Lyn 1896 II 0-0 D 3-5 L
Elverum 1-0 W 7-3 W
Lillehammer 1-3 L 1-8 L
Sarpsborg 2 1-0 W 5-1 W
Rælingen 1-2 L 7-2 W
Sandefjord 2 1-0 W 3-1 W
Oppsal 1-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 5 W 2 D 2 L 5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rade IL (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gjøvik-Lyn

WWLWLWDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/06 Brumunddal
Norway Division 3 Group 6
2-0 3-0 62 W
20/06 Ørn Horten
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 3-0 44 W
13/06 Drøbak/Frogn
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 0-0 D
01/06 Lyn 1896 II
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 0-0 42 D
25/05 Elverum
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 1-0 25 W
14/05 Lillehammer
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-2 1-3 46 L
10/05 Sarpsborg 2
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-0 1-0 83 W
02/05 Rælingen
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-1 1-2 65 L
27/04 Sandefjord 2
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-0 1-0 101 W
18/04 Oppsal
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 1-0 63 W

Rade IL

DWWLWLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Lyn 1896 II
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-2 3-5 64 L
20/06 Drøbak/Frogn
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-0 2-1 44 W
13/06 Rælingen
Norway Division 3 Group 6
5-1 7-2 51 W
06/06 Østsiden
Norway Cup
2-0 4-0 91 W
30/05 Lillehammer
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-7 1-8 L
26/05 Sarpsborg 2
Norway Division 3 Group 6
2-1 5-1 42 W
14/05 Oppsal
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 0-1 95 L
10/05 Sandefjord 2
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-0 3-1 63 W
02/05 Elverum
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-2 7-3 W
25/04 Ørn Horten
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-1 1-1 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gjøvik-Lyn vs Rade IL?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gjøvik-Lyn win (40%). Probabilities: Gjøvik-Lyn 40%, draw 25%, Rade IL 35%.

How many goals are expected in Gjøvik-Lyn vs Rade IL?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Gjøvik-Lyn 1.61 · Rade IL 1.48), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gjøvik-Lyn vs Rade IL?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.