Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 27/07, 19:00

Prediction: Lyn 1896 II vs Oppsal

Team pages: Lyn 1896 II · Oppsal

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.96Total
Lyn 1896 II2.7
Oppsal1.26
1X2
68% 17% 16%
Lyn 1896 II Draw Oppsal
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lyn 1896 II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWLLDWLW
Oppsal 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lyn 1896 II 1490 · Oppsal 1538
Lyn 1896 IIDrawOppsal
Our model67%18%15%
Market68%15%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oppsal (rating 1490 vs 1538).
  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lyn 1896 IIOppsal
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 2.32.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 10.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.92.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 03.1 / 0.3

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lillehammer 131021 521932
2 Gjøvik-Lyn 13823 17826
3 Rade IL 13814 482525
4 Elverum 13814 342225
5 Drøbak/Frogn 13544 241619
6 Sandefjord 2 13616 363019
7 Oppsal 12615 211619
8 Ørn Horten 12543 231919
9 Lyn 1896 II 12615 242519
10 Rælingen 13526 273717
11 Fram 13337 172712
12 Sarpsborg 2 12327 193111
13 Brumunddal 13229 15488
14 Bjørkelangen 131012 9433

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLyn 1896 IIOppsal
Rade IL 5-3 W 1-0 W
Fram 1-0 W 2-2 D
Gjøvik-Lyn 0-0 D 0-1 L
Sarpsborg 2 3-6 L 2-0 W
Rælingen 3-1 W 3-1 W
Sandefjord 2 0-3 L 4-3 W
Elverum 2-1 W 1-2 L
Ørn Horten 1-2 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Lyn 1896 II (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lyn 1896 II

LWLWLLDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Rade IL
Norway Division 3 Group 6
2-1 5-3 34 W
20/06 Lillehammer
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-3 3-5 53 L
15/06 Fram
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 1-0 53 W
01/06 Gjøvik-Lyn
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 0-0 42 D
26/05 Drøbak/Frogn
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 1-2 45 L
19/05 Sarpsborg 2
Norway Division 3 Group 6
3-2 3-6 63 L
11/05 Rælingen
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-1 3-1 83 W
04/05 Sandefjord 2
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-2 0-3 104 L
27/04 Elverum
Norway Division 3 Group 6
2-0 2-1 76 W
21/04 Ørn Horten
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-1 1-2 73 L

Oppsal

LDWWWLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Rælingen
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-0 3-1 62 W
20/06 Elverum
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-2 1-2 L
13/06 Sandefjord 2
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-2 4-3 135 W
30/05 Sarpsborg 2
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 2-0 42 W
23/05 Ørn Horten
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-1 0-2 44 L
14/05 Rade IL
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 1-0 75 W
09/05 Brumunddal
Norway Division 3 Group 6
2-1 4-1 W
02/05 Bjørkelangen
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-1 4-1 73 W
25/04 Fram
Norway Division 3 Group 6
1-1 2-2 23 D
18/04 Gjøvik-Lyn
Norway Division 3 Group 6
0-0 0-1 23 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lyn 1896 II vs Oppsal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lyn 1896 II win (68%). Probabilities: Lyn 1896 II 68%, draw 17%, Oppsal 16%.

How many goals are expected in Lyn 1896 II vs Oppsal?

The model expects 3.96 goals (Lyn 1896 II 2.7 · Oppsal 1.26), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Lyn 1896 II vs Oppsal?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.