Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 08/08, 15:00

Prediction: Hinna vs Flekkerøy

Team pages: Hinna · Flekkerøy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.4Total

Hinna1.59

Flekkerøy2.81

1X2

20% 17% 63%

Hinna Draw Flekkerøy

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Hinna 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLDLDDLW

Flekkerøy 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWLWLW

Head-to-head

Hinna 0–1 Flekkerøy (1 last)

Flekkerøy4-3Hinna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hinna 1461 · Flekkerøy 1550

	Hinna	Draw	Flekkerøy
Our model	19%	18%	63%
Market	20%	17%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 4.4 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flekkerøy (rating 1461 vs 1550).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hinna	Flekkerøy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 3	2.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.9	2.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.50

X5.25

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.95

2 (-1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.80

Under 42.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:29 +2’	4.50	5.25	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hinna 0–0–1 Flekkerøy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Flekkerøy	4-3 HT 1-0	Hinna

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Flekkerøy	14	9	2	3	33	23	29
2	Madla	14	8	4	2	35	20	28
3	Vindbjart	14	8	2	4	31	16	26
4	Viking 2	14	7	3	4	37	17	24
5	Mandalskameratene	14	6	4	4	36	28	22
6	Varhaug	14	5	5	4	26	22	20
7	Brodd	14	6	2	6	31	29	20
8	Stabaek 2	14	5	2	7	33	38	17
9	Vag FK	14	5	1	8	20	25	16
10	Staal Jørpeland	14	4	4	6	28	36	16
11	Haugesund 2	14	4	3	7	28	35	15
12	Åkra	14	4	2	8	20	37	14
13	Odd II	14	3	4	7	22	35	13
14	Hinna	14	3	4	7	25	44	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hinna	Flekkerøy
Varhaug	5-3 W	1-1 D
Vindbjart	0-7 L	2-0 W
Madla	0-3 L	1-5 L
Haugesund 2	2-2 D	2-1 W
Åkra	3-4 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Flekkerøy (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hinna

LDLLDLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	5-3	–	–	W
25/07	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-7	3	2	L
25/06	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
19/06	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	3-3	1	4	D
14/06	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	3-4	3	2	L
05/06	Varhaug Norway Cup	1-1	2-2	9	6	D
29/05	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
25/05	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-3	7	4	L
14/05	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
07/05	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	3-4	–	–	L

Flekkerøy

DWWWWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
25/07	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-4	1-5	2	2	L
26/06	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	3-1	7	2	W
22/06	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-3	8	5	L
14/06	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-3	6	2	W
30/05	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-3	4-3	–	–	W
23/05	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
16/05	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
11/05	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	4-0	6-0	8	1	W
01/05	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-1	9	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hinna vs Flekkerøy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Flekkerøy win (63%). Probabilities: Hinna 20%, draw 17%, Flekkerøy 63%.

How many goals are expected in Hinna vs Flekkerøy?

The model expects 4.4 goals (Hinna 1.59 · Flekkerøy 2.81), with a 54% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Hinna vs Flekkerøy?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.