Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 17/08, 18:00

Prediction: Viking 2 vs Madla

Team pages: Viking 2 · Madla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.06Total

Viking 22.14

Madla1.91

1X2

44% 21% 35%

Viking 2 Draw Madla

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Viking 2 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWWWLDWL

Madla 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLDWWW

Head-to-head

Viking 2 3–1–2 Madla (6 last)

Madla2-0Viking 2
Viking 21-3Madla
Madla1-1Viking 2
Viking 23-1Madla
Madla2-3Viking 2
Madla0-3Viking 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viking 2 1511 · Madla 1572

	Viking 2	Draw	Madla
Our model	43%	22%	35%
Market	44%	21%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 4.06 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madla (rating 1511 vs 1572).
H2H favours Viking 2: 3-1-2.
High corners: 14 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viking 2	Madla
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.4	2.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 7.2	3.6 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X4.33

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.82

Under 4.251.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:51 +7’	2.05	4.33	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viking 2 3–1–2 Madla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Madla	2-0 HT 0-0	Viking 2
11/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Viking 2	1-3 HT 0-0	Madla
31/03/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Madla	1-1 HT 0-0	Viking 2
28/09/23 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Viking 2	3-1 HT 0-1	Madla
24/04/23 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Madla	2-3 HT 2-1	Viking 2
13/09/21 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Madla	0-3 HT 0-1	Viking 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	15	9	4	2	39	23	31
2	Vindbjart	16	9	2	5	40	20	29
3	Flekkerøy	16	9	2	5	35	27	29
4	Mandalskameratene	16	8	4	4	40	30	28
5	Viking 2	15	7	3	5	39	21	24
6	Varhaug	15	6	5	4	28	23	23
7	Brodd	16	7	2	7	33	31	23
8	Stabaek 2	15	6	2	7	35	38	20
9	Staal Jørpeland	15	5	4	6	30	37	19
10	Haugesund 2	15	5	3	7	32	37	18
11	Vag FK	16	5	1	10	21	29	16
12	Odd II	16	4	4	8	26	39	16
13	Hinna	16	4	4	8	30	49	16
14	Åkra	16	4	2	10	21	45	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viking 2	Madla
Haugesund 2	2-4 L	2-3 L
Mandalskameratene	4-0 W	2-2 D
Vag FK	2-3 L	3-2 W
Åkra	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Madla (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viking 2

LDDWWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-4	3	4	L
02/08	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	4-0	6	3	W
25/07	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
25/06	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
21/06	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	5-2	10	2	W
12/06	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-0	10	4	W
31/05	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	3-0	4-1	4	1	W
23/05	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
14/05	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	10	3	D
11/05	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-2	8	1	L

Madla

WDWDWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	4-3	3	3	W
01/08	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	3-2	9	5	W
25/07	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	4-0	5-1	4	2	W
27/06	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-2	7	4	D
22/06	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-3	7	2	L
13/06	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
30/05	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
25/05	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	3-0	11	4	W
14/05	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
11/05	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-0	9	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viking 2 vs Madla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viking 2 win (44%). Probabilities: Viking 2 44%, draw 21%, Madla 35%.

How many goals are expected in Viking 2 vs Madla?

The model expects 4.06 goals (Viking 2 2.14 · Madla 1.91), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Viking 2 vs Madla?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.