Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 17/08, 18:00

Prediction: Staal Jørpeland vs Haugesund 2

Team pages: Staal Jørpeland · Haugesund 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.3Total

Staal Jørpeland2.31

Haugesund 21.99

1X2

45% 21% 33%

Staal Jørpeland Draw Haugesund 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Staal Jørpeland 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLDLLW

Haugesund 2 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLLWLDLW

Head-to-head

Staal Jørpeland 3–0 Haugesund 2 (3 last)

Haugesund 20-3Staal Jørpeland
Staal Jørpeland3-2Haugesund 2
Haugesund 22-3Staal Jørpeland

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Staal Jørpeland 1489 · Haugesund 2 1466

	Staal Jørpeland	Draw	Haugesund 2
Our model	45%	21%	34%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 4.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Staal Jørpeland: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Staal Jørpeland	Haugesund 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 3	2.3 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	44/11/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	1.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.10

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 1.3 · xG: 5.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:51 +7’	2.00	4.10	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Staal Jørpeland 3–0–0 Haugesund 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Haugesund 2	0-3 HT 0-2	Staal Jørpeland
22/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Staal Jørpeland	3-2 HT 0-2	Haugesund 2
07/06/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Haugesund 2	2-3 HT 1-3	Staal Jørpeland

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	15	9	4	2	39	23	31
2	Vindbjart	16	9	2	5	40	20	29
3	Flekkerøy	16	9	2	5	35	27	29
4	Mandalskameratene	16	8	4	4	40	30	28
5	Viking 2	15	7	3	5	39	21	24
6	Varhaug	15	6	5	4	28	23	23
7	Brodd	16	7	2	7	33	31	23
8	Stabaek 2	15	6	2	7	35	38	20
9	Staal Jørpeland	15	5	4	6	30	37	19
10	Haugesund 2	15	5	3	7	32	37	18
11	Vag FK	16	5	1	10	21	29	16
12	Odd II	16	4	4	8	26	39	16
13	Hinna	16	4	4	8	30	49	16
14	Åkra	16	4	2	10	21	45	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Staal Jørpeland	Haugesund 2
Odd II	2-1 W	1-2 L
Åkra	3-4 L	7-2 W
Hinna	1-1 D	2-2 D
Viking 2	2-5 L	4-2 W
Varhaug	1-4 L	2-2 D
Vindbjart	3-3 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Haugesund 2 (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Staal Jørpeland

DLLWWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
01/08	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	3-4	–	–	L
25/07	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-4	3-8	5	4	L
25/06	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
21/06	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-5	5	2	L
15/06	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	3-1	5-2	3	4	W
30/05	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
26/05	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/05	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	1-4	–	–	L
09/05	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	3-3	5	1	D

Haugesund 2

LDWLLWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	4-2	7	4	W
01/08	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
27/07	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	–	2-2	–	–	D
28/06	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-4	3	4	L
22/06	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	3-2	3	2	W
13/06	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-4	3	1	L
30/05	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	3-2	3-4	–	–	L
26/05	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	3-0	7-2	–	–	W
14/05	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
07/05	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	1-2	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Staal Jørpeland vs Haugesund 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Staal Jørpeland win (45%). Probabilities: Staal Jørpeland 45%, draw 21%, Haugesund 2 33%.

How many goals are expected in Staal Jørpeland vs Haugesund 2?

The model expects 4.3 goals (Staal Jørpeland 2.31 · Haugesund 2 1.99), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Staal Jørpeland vs Haugesund 2?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.