Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: Haugesund 2 vs Vag FK

Team pages: Haugesund 2 · Vag FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.43Total

Haugesund 22.47

Vag FK1.96

1X2

49% 20% 31%

Haugesund 2 Draw Vag FK

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Haugesund 2 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLWWLL

Vag FK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLLLLW

Head-to-head

Haugesund 2 2–1 Vag FK (3 last)

Vag FK2-4Haugesund 2
Vag FK4-1Haugesund 2
Haugesund 24-3Vag FK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Haugesund 2: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Haugesund 2	Vag FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 3.4	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/11/56%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4	1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.3	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.90

Under 4.251.81

Diff.: 0 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:05

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.72 → 1.72	Pinn 1.72
X	4.62 → 4.62	Pinn 4.62
2	3.05 → 3.05	Pinn 3.05

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:12 +233’	1.72	4.62	3.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Haugesund 2 2–0–1 Vag FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Vag FK	2-4 HT 1-3	Haugesund 2
13/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Vag FK	4-1 HT 1-0	Haugesund 2
21/04/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Haugesund 2	4-3 HT 1-1	Vag FK

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	18	11	5	2	46	24	38
2	Vindbjart	18	11	2	5	46	20	35
3	Varhaug	18	9	5	4	35	23	32
4	Flekkerøy	18	10	2	6	39	30	32
5	Mandalskameratene	18	9	4	5	42	32	31
6	Viking 2	18	8	4	6	44	26	28
7	Brodd	18	8	2	8	36	35	26
8	Stabaek 2	18	7	2	9	38	44	23
9	Haugesund 2	18	6	3	9	36	51	21
10	Odd II	18	5	4	9	33	43	19
11	Vag FK	18	6	1	11	24	34	19
12	Staal Jørpeland	18	5	4	9	34	45	19
13	Hinna	18	5	4	9	33	51	19
14	Åkra	18	4	2	12	24	52	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Haugesund 2	Vag FK
Odd II	0-7 L	1-1 D
Staal Jørpeland	4-3 W	0-1 L
Viking 2	4-2 W	3-2 W
Madla	3-2 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Haugesund 2 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Haugesund 2

LLWLDLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-7	–	–	L
30/08	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
17/08	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-3	6	2	W
10/08	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	4-2	7	4	W
01/08	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
27/07	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	–	2-2	–	–	D
28/06	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-4	3	4	L
22/06	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	3-2	3	2	W
13/06	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-4	3	1	L
30/05	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	3-2	3-4	–	–	L

Vag FK

LWLWDLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
30/08	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
09/08	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
01/08	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-3	6	5	L
27/07	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
25/06	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
21/06	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
15/06	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	3-2	9	4	W
30/05	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-1	9	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haugesund 2 vs Vag FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Haugesund 2 win (49%). Probabilities: Haugesund 2 49%, draw 20%, Vag FK 31%.

How many goals are expected in Haugesund 2 vs Vag FK?

The model expects 4.43 goals (Haugesund 2 2.47 · Vag FK 1.96), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Haugesund 2 vs Vag FK?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.