Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Flekkerøy vs Varhaug

Team pages: Flekkerøy · Varhaug

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

Flekkerøy1.9

Varhaug1.85

1X2

39% 23% 38%

Flekkerøy Draw Varhaug

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Flekkerøy 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLLWLL

Varhaug 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Flekkerøy 0–1–0 Varhaug (1 last)

Varhaug1-1Flekkerøy

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Varhaug (rating 1463 vs 1511).
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Flekkerøy	Varhaug
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.3	2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.7	2.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.83

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:35

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.67
X	4.08 → 4.08	Pinn 4.08
2	3.55 → 3.55	Pinn 3.55

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:26 +69’	1.67	4.08	3.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Flekkerøy 0–1–0 Varhaug

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Varhaug	1-1 HT 1-0	Flekkerøy

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	19	12	5	2	50	25	41
2	Vindbjart	19	11	2	6	47	23	35
3	Mandalskameratene	19	10	4	5	45	33	34
4	Varhaug	19	9	5	5	35	27	32
5	Flekkerøy	19	10	2	7	40	33	32
6	Viking 2	19	9	4	6	48	26	31
7	Brodd	19	8	2	9	37	38	26
8	Stabaek 2	19	8	2	9	41	45	26
9	Vag FK	19	7	1	11	27	34	22
10	Staal Jørpeland	19	6	4	9	37	46	22
11	Odd II	19	6	4	9	35	44	22
12	Haugesund 2	19	6	3	10	36	54	21
13	Hinna	19	5	4	10	34	55	19
14	Åkra	19	4	2	13	25	54	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Flekkerøy	Varhaug
Mandalskameratene	1-3 L	2-0 W
Åkra	4-1 W	2-1 W
Brodd	0-1 L	3-0 W
Hinna	2-3 L	3-5 L
Haugesund 2	2-1 W	2-2 D
Odd II	1-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Flekkerøy

WLWLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
30/08	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
15/08	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-3	2	4	L
01/08	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
25/07	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-4	1-5	2	2	L
26/06	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	3-1	7	2	W
22/06	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-3	8	5	L
14/06	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-3	6	2	W

Varhaug

LWDDLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-4	1	5	L
05/09	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
30/08	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/08	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	2-0	3	7	W
07/08	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-1	9	4	W
31/07	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	3-5	–	–	L
27/07	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
28/06	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-2	4	0	D
21/06	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-1	5	6	W
12/06	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	0-3	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Flekkerøy vs Varhaug?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Flekkerøy win (39%). Probabilities: Flekkerøy 39%, draw 23%, Varhaug 38%.

How many goals are expected in Flekkerøy vs Varhaug?

The model expects 3.75 goals (Flekkerøy 1.9 · Varhaug 1.85), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Flekkerøy vs Varhaug?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.