Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 21/09, 18:00

Prediction: Staal Jørpeland vs Viking 2

Team pages: Staal Jørpeland · Viking 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.4Total

Staal Jørpeland2.16

Viking 22.24

1X2

38% 21% 41%

Staal Jørpeland Draw Viking 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Staal Jørpeland 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWLLLW

Viking 2 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDWLDLWW

Head-to-head

Staal Jørpeland 0–2–4 Viking 2 (6 last)

Viking 25-2Staal Jørpeland
Viking 21-0Staal Jørpeland
Staal Jørpeland1-4Viking 2
Staal Jørpeland0-5Viking 2
Viking 22-2Staal Jørpeland
Staal Jørpeland3-3Viking 2

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viking 2 (rating 1466 vs 1532).
H2H favours Viking 2: 4-2-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Staal Jørpeland	Viking 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 3	2.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	1.9 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.95

Under 4.251.76

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 4.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.14 → 5.14	Pinn 5.14
X	4.81 → 4.81	Pinn 4.81
2	1.38 → 1.38	Pinn 1.38

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:12 +49’	5.14	4.81	1.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Staal Jørpeland 0–2–4 Viking 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Viking 2	5-2 HT 1-0	Staal Jørpeland
01/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Viking 2	1-0 HT 1-0	Staal Jørpeland
02/06/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Staal Jørpeland	1-4 HT 0-2	Viking 2
05/10/23 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Staal Jørpeland	0-5 HT 0-2	Viking 2
01/05/23 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Viking 2	2-2 HT 1-2	Staal Jørpeland
30/08/21 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Staal Jørpeland	3-3 HT 2-2	Viking 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	19	12	5	2	50	25	41
2	Mandalskameratene	20	11	4	5	46	33	37
3	Vindbjart	20	11	2	7	47	24	35
4	Varhaug	20	9	6	5	36	28	33
5	Flekkerøy	20	10	3	7	41	34	33
6	Viking 2	19	9	4	6	48	26	31
7	Brodd	20	8	3	9	39	40	27
8	Stabaek 2	19	8	2	9	41	45	26
9	Vag FK	20	7	2	11	29	36	23
10	Staal Jørpeland	19	6	4	9	37	46	22
11	Odd II	19	6	4	9	35	44	22
12	Haugesund 2	19	6	3	10	36	54	21
13	Hinna	20	5	5	10	36	57	20
14	Åkra	20	4	3	13	27	56	15

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Staal Jørpeland	Viking 2
Brodd	3-1 W	1-3 L
Mandalskameratene	0-2 L	4-0 W
Stabaek 2	1-2 L	3-1 W
Haugesund 2	3-4 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Staal Jørpeland

WLDLLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-1	3-1	5	6	W
05/09	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
30/08	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-2	7	2	L
17/08	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	3-4	2	2	L
08/08	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
01/08	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	3-4	–	–	L
25/07	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-4	3-8	5	4	L
25/06	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
21/06	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-5	5	2	L
15/06	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	3-1	5-2	3	4	W

Viking 2

WWLDWLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	4-0	6	5	W
06/09	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	3-1	3-1	9	3	W
30/08	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-3	4	2	L
17/08	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
10/08	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	2-4	3	4	L
02/08	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	4-0	6	3	W
25/07	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
25/06	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
21/06	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	5-2	10	2	W
12/06	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-0	10	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Staal Jørpeland vs Viking 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Viking 2 win (41%). Probabilities: Staal Jørpeland 38%, draw 21%, Viking 2 41%.

How many goals are expected in Staal Jørpeland vs Viking 2?

The model expects 4.4 goals (Staal Jørpeland 2.16 · Viking 2 2.24), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Staal Jørpeland vs Viking 2?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.