Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 21/09, 18:00

Prediction: Madla vs Haugesund 2

Team pages: Madla · Haugesund 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.57Total

Madla2.92

Haugesund 21.65

1X2

63% 17% 19%

Madla Draw Haugesund 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Madla 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWDWWW

Haugesund 2 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWWLLL

Head-to-head

Madla 1–2 Haugesund 2 (3 last)

Haugesund 23-2Madla
Madla0-1Haugesund 2
Haugesund 21-4Madla

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madla (rating 1582 vs 1446).
H2H favours Haugesund 2: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Madla	Haugesund 2
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.4	1.4 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	1.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	2.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.85

Under 4.51.84

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.29▲	Pinn 1.29
X	6.93 → 6.53▼	Pinn 6.53
2	8.66 → 4.89▼	Pinn 4.89

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 13.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:25 +36’	1.14	6.93	8.66
08:58 +3’	1.29▲	6.53▼	4.89▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Madla 1–0–2 Haugesund 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Haugesund 2	3-2 HT 1-0	Madla
01/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Madla	0-1 HT 0-1	Haugesund 2
28/07/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Haugesund 2	1-4 HT 0-1	Madla

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	19	12	5	2	50	25	41
2	Mandalskameratene	20	11	4	5	46	33	37
3	Vindbjart	20	11	2	7	47	24	35
4	Varhaug	20	9	6	5	36	28	33
5	Flekkerøy	20	10	3	7	41	34	33
6	Viking 2	19	9	4	6	48	26	31
7	Brodd	20	8	3	9	39	40	27
8	Stabaek 2	19	8	2	9	41	45	26
9	Vag FK	20	7	2	11	29	36	23
10	Staal Jørpeland	19	6	4	9	37	46	22
11	Odd II	19	6	4	9	35	44	22
12	Haugesund 2	19	6	3	10	36	54	21
13	Hinna	20	5	5	10	36	57	20
14	Åkra	20	4	3	13	27	56	15

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Madla	Haugesund 2
Flekkerøy	2-0 W	1-2 L
Odd II	4-0 W	0-7 L
Viking 2	1-1 D	4-2 W
Vindbjart	4-3 W	0-4 L
Vag FK	3-2 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Madla (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Madla

WLDWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	4-1	4-1	1	5	W
05/09	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-0	3	2	W
17/08	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
08/08	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	4-3	3	3	W
01/08	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	3-2	9	5	W
25/07	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	4-0	5-1	4	2	W
27/06	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-2	7	4	D
22/06	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-3	7	2	L
13/06	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-1	–	–	W

Haugesund 2

LWLDLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
06/09	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-7	–	–	L
30/08	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
17/08	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	4-3	6	2	W
10/08	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	4-2	7	4	W
01/08	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
27/07	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
28/06	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-4	3	4	L
22/06	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	3-2	3	2	W
13/06	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-4	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Madla vs Haugesund 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Madla win (63%). Probabilities: Madla 63%, draw 17%, Haugesund 2 19%.

How many goals are expected in Madla vs Haugesund 2?

The model expects 4.57 goals (Madla 2.92 · Haugesund 2 1.65), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Madla vs Haugesund 2?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.