Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 21/09, 15:00

Prediction: Odd II vs Stabaek 2

Team pages: Odd II · Stabaek 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.48Total

Odd II2.62

Stabaek 21.87

1X2

54% 19% 27%

Odd II Draw Stabaek 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Odd II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDDLLWLWW

Stabaek 2 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDDWLWLW

Head-to-head

Odd II 4–1–1 Stabaek 2 (6 last)

Stabaek 22-3Odd II
Odd II5-1Stabaek 2
Stabaek 24-3Odd II
Stabaek 22-2Odd II
Odd II3-1Stabaek 2
Odd II1-0Stabaek 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odd II 1525 · Stabaek 2 1482

	Odd II	Draw	Stabaek 2
Our model	54%	20%	27%
Market	54%	18%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 4.48 goals · Bet365 line 4.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Odd II (rating 1525 vs 1482).
H2H favours Odd II: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odd II	Stabaek 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2	1.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.8 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.8	2.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X5.00

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.82

Under 4.751.98

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 09:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.65▼	Bet365 1.65
X	4.50 → 5.00▲	Pinn 5.01
2	3.40 → 3.25▼	Pinn 3.29 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:05 +4’	1.67	4.50	3.40
23:59 +3’	1.67	4.50	3.30▼
08:58 +2’	1.65▼	5.00▲	3.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +48’	1.63	4.56	3.40
07:42 +19’	1.60▼	4.78▲	3.42▲
08:55 +5’	1.61▲	5.01▲	3.29▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Odd II 4–1–1 Stabaek 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Stabaek 2	2-3 HT 1-1	Odd II
22/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Odd II	5-1 HT 2-1	Stabaek 2
13/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Stabaek 2	4-3 HT 1-3	Odd II
06/08/18 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Stabaek 2	2-2 HT 1-0	Odd II
09/04/18 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Odd II	3-1 HT 2-0	Stabaek 2
16/02/18 Europe Friendlies	Odd II	1-0 HT 1-0	Stabaek 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Madla	19	12	5	2	50	25	41
2	Mandalskameratene	20	11	4	5	46	33	37
3	Vindbjart	20	11	2	7	47	24	35
4	Varhaug	20	9	6	5	36	28	33
5	Flekkerøy	20	10	3	7	41	34	33
6	Viking 2	19	9	4	6	48	26	31
7	Brodd	20	8	3	9	39	40	27
8	Stabaek 2	19	8	2	9	41	45	26
9	Vag FK	20	7	2	11	29	36	23
10	Staal Jørpeland	19	6	4	9	37	46	22
11	Odd II	19	6	4	9	35	44	22
12	Haugesund 2	19	6	3	10	36	54	21
13	Hinna	20	5	5	10	36	57	20
14	Åkra	20	4	3	13	27	56	15

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odd II	Stabaek 2
Staal Jørpeland	1-2 L	2-1 W
Vindbjart	1-2 L	3-1 W
Vag FK	1-1 D	2-0 W
Varhaug	2-2 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Stabaek 2 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Odd II

LWDDLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
06/09	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	7-0	–	–	W
31/08	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
16/08	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
08/08	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
03/08	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
27/07	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-1	11	6	D
28/06	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-2	5	0	D
22/06	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-1	4	5	W
15/06	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-3	2-5	10	4	L

Stabaek 2

LLWDDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
06/09	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-3	1-3	4	3	L
30/08	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
17/08	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	0-2	6	7	L
09/08	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
03/08	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	2-2	2	6	D
25/07	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
28/06	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-2	3-2	4	1	W
21/06	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-4	5	6	L
15/06	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	2-3	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odd II vs Stabaek 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Odd II win (54%). Probabilities: Odd II 54%, draw 19%, Stabaek 2 27%.

How many goals are expected in Odd II vs Stabaek 2?

The model expects 4.48 goals (Odd II 2.62 · Stabaek 2 1.87), with a 53% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Odd II vs Stabaek 2?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.