Prediction: Drøbak/Frogn vs Brumunddal
| Drøbak/Frogn | Draw | Brumunddal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 17% | 17% |
| Market | 66% | 18% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Drøbak/Frogn (rating 1520 vs 1406).
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Drøbak/Frogn | Brumunddal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 3.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 4.2 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillehammer | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Gjøvik-Lyn | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
| 3 | Rade IL | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 25 | 22 |
| 4 | Elverum | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 22 |
| 5 | Sandefjord 2 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 19 |
| 6 | Oppsal | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 19 |
| 7 | Ørn Horten | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 19 |
| 8 | Lyn 1896 II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 19 |
| 9 | Rælingen | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 33 | 17 |
| 10 | Drøbak/Frogn | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 11 |
| 12 | Fram | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 9 |
| 13 | Brumunddal | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 8 |
| 14 | Bjørkelangen | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Drøbak/Frogn | Brumunddal |
|---|---|---|
| Fram | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Gjøvik-Lyn | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Bjørkelangen | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Sandefjord 2 | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Lillehammer | 2-2 D | 0-8 L |
| Sarpsborg 2 | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Rælingen | 3-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Drøbak/Frogn (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Drøbak/Frogn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Rakkestad Norway Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/05 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
Brumunddal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-4 | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Drøbak/Frogn vs Brumunddal?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Drøbak/Frogn win (66%). Probabilities: Drøbak/Frogn 66%, draw 18%, Brumunddal 16%.
How many goals are expected in Drøbak/Frogn vs Brumunddal?
The model expects 4.27 goals (Drøbak/Frogn 2.84 · Brumunddal 1.43), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Drøbak/Frogn vs Brumunddal?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.