Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 25/07, 15:00
Prediction: Elverum vs Sandefjord 2
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.32Total
Elverum2.54
Sandefjord 21.78
1X2
Elverum
Draw
Sandefjord 2
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Elverum
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Sandefjord 2
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elverum (rating 1547 vs 1489).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Elverum | Sandefjord 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.5 | 2.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 2.3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 3 / 0.1 |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillehammer | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Gjøvik-Lyn | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
| 3 | Rade IL | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 25 | 22 |
| 4 | Elverum | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 22 |
| 5 | Sandefjord 2 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 19 |
| 6 | Oppsal | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 19 |
| 7 | Ørn Horten | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 19 |
| 8 | Lyn 1896 II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 19 |
| 9 | Rælingen | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 33 | 17 |
| 10 | Drøbak/Frogn | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 11 |
| 12 | Fram | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 9 |
| 13 | Brumunddal | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 8 |
| 14 | Bjørkelangen | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 3 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Elverum | Sandefjord 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Lillehammer | 2-2 D | 4-3 W |
| Oppsal | 2-1 W | 3-4 L |
| Ørn Horten | 3-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Brumunddal | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Gjøvik-Lyn | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Fram | 3-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Bjørkelangen | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Rade IL | 3-7 L | 1-3 L |
| Lyn 1896 II | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Drøbak/Frogn | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Elverum (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elverum
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-1 | 3-7 | – | – | L |
| 27/04 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Sandefjord 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elverum vs Sandefjord 2?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Elverum win (54%). Probabilities: Elverum 54%, draw 20%, Sandefjord 2 26%.
How many goals are expected in Elverum vs Sandefjord 2?
The model expects 4.32 goals (Elverum 2.54 · Sandefjord 2 1.78), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Elverum vs Sandefjord 2?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.