Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 08/08, 13:00

Prediction: Odd II vs Staal Jørpeland

Team pages: Odd II · Staal Jørpeland

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.42Total

Odd II2.69

Staal Jørpeland1.73

1X2

57% 20% 23%

Odd II Draw Staal Jørpeland

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Odd II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLWDDL

Staal Jørpeland 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWLDLL

Head-to-head

Odd II 2–3 Staal Jørpeland (5 last)

Staal Jørpeland5-2Odd II
Staal Jørpeland4-1Odd II
Odd II2-1Staal Jørpeland
Staal Jørpeland1-0Odd II
Odd II3-2Staal Jørpeland

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odd II 1470 · Staal Jørpeland 1458

	Odd II	Draw	Staal Jørpeland
Our model	58%	19%	23%
Market	57%	20%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Staal Jørpeland: 3-0-2.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odd II	Staal Jørpeland
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.1	2.3 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.3	2.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.50

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.95

Under 4.251.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:10	1.57	4.50	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Odd II 2–0–3 Staal Jørpeland

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Staal Jørpeland	5-2 HT 3-1	Odd II
05/10/24 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Staal Jørpeland	4-1 HT 3-0	Odd II
20/04/24 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Odd II	2-1 HT 2-0	Staal Jørpeland
21/08/22 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Staal Jørpeland	1-0 HT 0-0	Odd II
08/05/22 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Odd II	3-2 HT 2-1	Staal Jørpeland

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Flekkerøy	14	9	2	3	33	23	29
2	Madla	14	8	4	2	35	20	28
3	Vindbjart	14	8	2	4	31	16	26
4	Viking 2	14	7	3	4	37	17	24
5	Mandalskameratene	14	6	4	4	36	28	22
6	Varhaug	14	5	5	4	26	22	20
7	Brodd	14	6	2	6	31	29	20
8	Stabaek 2	14	5	2	7	33	38	17
9	Vag FK	14	5	1	8	20	25	16
10	Staal Jørpeland	14	4	4	6	28	36	16
11	Haugesund 2	14	4	3	7	28	35	15
12	Åkra	14	4	2	8	20	37	14
13	Odd II	14	3	4	7	22	35	13
14	Hinna	14	3	4	7	25	44	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odd II	Staal Jørpeland
Vindbjart	1-2 L	3-3 D
Vag FK	1-1 D	1-0 W
Varhaug	2-2 D	1-4 L
Åkra	1-2 L	3-4 L
Brodd	1-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Staal Jørpeland (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Odd II

LWDLLLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
27/07	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-1	11	6	D
28/06	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	2-2	5	0	D
22/06	Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	3-1	4	5	W
15/06	Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-3	2-5	10	4	L
31/05	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
26/05	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
14/05	Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
07/05	Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
02/05	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-2	2-3	–	–	L

Staal Jørpeland

WDLLWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-1	3-4	–	–	L
25/07	Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-4	3-8	5	4	L
25/06	Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
21/06	Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	2-5	5	2	L
15/06	Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4	3-1	5-2	3	4	W
30/05	Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
26/05	Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/05	Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4	1-0	1-4	–	–	L
09/05	Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4	2-0	3-3	5	1	D
02/05	Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4	0-2	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odd II vs Staal Jørpeland?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Odd II win (57%). Probabilities: Odd II 57%, draw 20%, Staal Jørpeland 23%.

How many goals are expected in Odd II vs Staal Jørpeland?

The model expects 4.42 goals (Odd II 2.69 · Staal Jørpeland 1.73), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Odd II vs Staal Jørpeland?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.