Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 25/07, 15:00

Prediction: Bjørkelangen vs Fram

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

Bjørkelangen1.77

Fram1.85

1X2

37% 24% 40%

Bjørkelangen Draw Fram

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bjørkelangen 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLW

Fram 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDLDLWLLLD

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fram (rating 1397 vs 1463).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bjørkelangen	Fram
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 3.6	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.4	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.5	2.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.89

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.70
X	4.04 → 4.04	Pinn 4.04
2	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:07 +1’	3.70	4.04	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	12	9	2	1	48	17	29
2	Gjøvik-Lyn	12	8	2	2	17	5	26
3	Rade IL	12	7	1	4	45	25	22
4	Elverum	12	7	1	4	29	19	22
5	Sandefjord 2	12	6	1	5	33	25	19
6	Oppsal	12	6	1	5	21	16	19
7	Ørn Horten	12	5	4	3	23	19	19
8	Lyn 1896 II	12	6	1	5	24	25	19
9	Rælingen	12	5	2	5	25	33	17
10	Drøbak/Frogn	12	4	4	4	17	15	16
11	Sarpsborg 2	12	3	2	7	19	31	11
12	Fram	12	2	3	7	15	27	9
13	Brumunddal	12	2	2	8	14	41	8
14	Bjørkelangen	12	1	0	11	9	41	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bjørkelangen	Fram
Sarpsborg 2	2-0 W	1-2 L
Rælingen	1-3 L	5-1 W
Lillehammer	1-2 L	0-4 L
Sandefjord 2	1-3 L	0-4 L
Drøbak/Frogn	0-3 L	1-1 D
Ørn Horten	2-4 L	1-1 D
Elverum	0-5 L	2-3 L
Oppsal	1-4 L	2-2 D
Brumunddal	0-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 8 L	2 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Fram (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bjørkelangen

LLLLLLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/06	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
20/06	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	1-3	6	2	L
13/06	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/06	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-3	3	6	L
31/05	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
16/05	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	2-4	3	4	L
09/05	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
02/05	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	1-4	3	3	L
26/04	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-3	6	5	L
18/04	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-6	0-9	–	–	L

Fram

WDLDLWLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
15/06	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
31/05	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	0-4	5	2	L
25/05	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	5-1	10	3	W
14/05	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
10/05	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
02/05	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
25/04	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	2-2	1	3	D
18/04	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bjørkelangen vs Fram?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fram win (40%). Probabilities: Bjørkelangen 37%, draw 24%, Fram 40%.

How many goals are expected in Bjørkelangen vs Fram?

The model expects 3.62 goals (Bjørkelangen 1.77 · Fram 1.85), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bjørkelangen vs Fram?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.