Football · USA NWSL Women · 20/08, 00:30

Prediction: Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Reign FC (W)

Team pages: Racing Louisville FC (W) · Reign FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Racing Louisville FC (W)1.53

Reign FC (W)1.54

1X2

37% 26% 37%

Racing Louisville FC (W) Draw Reign FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Racing Louisville FC (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWLWWW

Reign FC (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLWWDW

Head-to-head

Racing Louisville FC (W) 1–1–4 Reign FC (W) (6 last)

Reign FC (W)2-1Racing Louisville FC (W)
Reign FC (W)1-0Racing Louisville FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)0-1Reign FC (W)
Racing Louisville FC (W)2-3Reign FC (W)
Reign FC (W)1-1Racing Louisville FC (W)
Reign FC (W)0-1Racing Louisville FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reign FC (W) (rating 1484 vs 1540).
H2H favours Reign FC (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing Louisville FC (W)	Reign FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.1	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/13/38%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.5	2.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.84

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:40

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.65 → 2.65	Pinn 2.65
X	3.66 → 3.66	Pinn 3.66
2	2.26 → 2.26	Pinn 2.26

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:38 +2’	2.65	3.66	2.26

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Louisville FC (W) 1–1–4 Reign FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 USA NWSL Women	Reign FC (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
17/09/25 USA NWSL Women	Reign FC (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
17/05/25 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Reign FC (W)
01/09/24 USA NWSL Women	Racing Louisville FC (W)	2-3 HT 2-1	Reign FC (W)
24/06/24 USA NWSL Women	Reign FC (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Racing Louisville FC (W)
07/09/23 USA NWSL Challenge Cup Women	Reign FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Racing Louisville FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	20	13	4	3	26	13	43
2	Utah Royals (W)	20	11	3	6	35	23	36
3	Washington Spirit (W)	19	11	3	5	29	17	36
4	Portland Thorns (W)	20	10	4	6	34	29	34
5	San Diego Wave (W)	20	10	3	7	25	21	33
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	18	9	3	6	32	26	30
7	Kansas City Current (W)	20	9	3	8	31	28	30
8	Reign FC (W)	18	8	3	7	23	23	27
9	Angel City FC (W)	17	7	3	7	26	19	24
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	19	6	6	7	25	25	24
11	Orlando Pride (W)	20	7	2	11	24	31	23
12	Houston Dash (W)	18	5	5	8	20	26	20
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	19	6	2	11	28	36	20
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	20	5	5	10	23	32	20
15	Bay FC (W)	19	5	4	10	20	27	19
16	Chicago Stars (W)	19	4	1	14	9	34	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing Louisville FC (W)	Reign FC (W)
Boston Legacy FC (W)	4-1 W	2-1 W
Chicago Stars (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Angel City FC (W)	2-1 W	2-2 D
Bay FC (W)	0-2 L	3-2 W
Portland Thorns (W)	0-4 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Racing Louisville FC (W)

WLLLDWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	4-1	5	0	W
08/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-1	9	1	W
01/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	7	1	W
30/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	1-5	3	3	L
27/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
19/07	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
11/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
06/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	0-4	7	4	L
04/07	Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W) USA USL W-League Women	–	0-5	–	–	L
28/06	Toledo Villa Women USA USL W-League Women	–	3-0	–	–	W

Reign FC (W)

LWLLWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	13	0	W
10/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-2	3	2	D
02/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	3-2	3	5	W
26/07	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
18/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-3	1	2	L
12/07	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	2-0	3	2	W
05/07	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-3	4	1	L
31/05	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
23/05	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
16/05	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Reign FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Louisville FC (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Racing Louisville FC (W) 37%, draw 26%, Reign FC (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Reign FC (W)?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Racing Louisville FC (W) 1.53 · Reign FC (W) 1.54), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Reign FC (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.