Football · USA NWSL Women · 27/08, 02:00

Prediction: North Carolina Courage (W) vs Angel City FC (W)

Team pages: North Carolina Courage (W) · Angel City FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

North Carolina Courage (W)1.81

Angel City FC (W)0.89

1X2

58% 25% 17%

North Carolina Courage (W) Draw Angel City FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

North Carolina Courage (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWDLLWWW

Angel City FC (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDWLLD

Head-to-head

North Carolina Courage (W) 3–1–2 Angel City FC (W) (6 last)

Angel City FC (W)1-2North Carolina Courage (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)2-1Angel City FC (W)
Angel City FC (W)1-2North Carolina Courage (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)1-1Angel City FC (W)
Angel City FC (W)2-1North Carolina Courage (W)
Angel City FC (W)2-1North Carolina Courage (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours North Carolina Courage (W) (rating 1522 vs 1440).
H2H favours North Carolina Courage (W): 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	North Carolina Courage (W)	Angel City FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/80/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.4	2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.84

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:05

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.92 → 1.98▲	Pinn 1.98
X	3.64 → 3.59▼	Pinn 3.59
2	3.38 → 3.25▼	Pinn 3.25

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:11 +1’	1.92	3.64	3.38
09:05	1.98▲	3.59▼	3.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · North Carolina Courage (W) 3–1–2 Angel City FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/06/26 USA NWSL Women	Angel City FC (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	North Carolina Courage (W)
13/09/25 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Angel City FC (W)
15/06/25 USA NWSL Women	Angel City FC (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	North Carolina Courage (W)
13/10/24 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Angel City FC (W)
22/04/24 USA NWSL Women	Angel City FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	North Carolina Courage (W)
10/07/23 USA NWSL Women	Angel City FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	North Carolina Courage (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	21	13	5	3	26	13	44
2	Washington Spirit (W)	21	11	4	6	30	19	37
3	Portland Thorns (W)	21	11	4	6	35	29	37
4	Utah Royals (W)	21	11	3	7	37	27	36
5	San Diego Wave (W)	21	11	3	7	29	23	36
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	20	10	3	7	36	30	33
7	Kansas City Current (W)	21	9	4	8	32	29	31
8	Reign FC (W)	20	8	4	8	25	26	28
9	Angel City FC (W)	19	7	5	7	27	20	26
10	Houston Dash (W)	21	7	5	9	28	29	26
11	Orlando Pride (W)	21	8	2	11	25	31	26
12	Denver Summit FC (W)	20	6	6	8	25	26	24
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	21	7	2	12	32	40	23
14	Bay FC (W)	20	6	4	10	21	27	22
15	Boston Legacy FC (W)	21	5	5	11	24	34	20
16	Chicago Stars (W)	21	5	1	15	12	41	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	North Carolina Courage (W)	Angel City FC (W)
Orlando Pride (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
Kansas City Current (W)	1-2 L	2-1 W
Houston Dash (W)	1-0 W	1-2 L
Portland Thorns (W)	2-2 D	0-0 D
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

North Carolina Courage (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/06	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
23/05	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
17/05	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	4-0	7	2	W
09/05	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
03/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
30/04	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	2-2	7	4	D
26/04	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
05/04	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	2-2	2-2	6	2	D
29/03	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	1-3	4	3	L
21/03	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	2	2	D

Angel City FC (W)

WLLLLDWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
01/06	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	5	1	L
24/05	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	6	6	L
21/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
18/05	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
10/05	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	6	1	L
03/05	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
27/04	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
04/04	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	3	5	L
28/03	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Angel City FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a North Carolina Courage (W) win (58%). Probabilities: North Carolina Courage (W) 58%, draw 25%, Angel City FC (W) 17%.

How many goals are expected in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Angel City FC (W)?

The model expects 2.7 goals (North Carolina Courage (W) 1.81 · Angel City FC (W) 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Angel City FC (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.