Prediction: Valentine Phoenix vs Kahibah FC
Expected goals: 3.41 (Valentine Phoenix 1.8 · Kahibah FC 1.62). The model gives 42% home, 23% draw, 35% away. Under 3.5 goals (54%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Valentine Phoenix is 3-4-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Kahibah FC 2-1-7 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Valentine Phoenix won 1 and Kahibah FC 1.
| Valentine Phoenix | Draw | Kahibah FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| Market | 43% | 22% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentine Phoenix (rating 1489 vs 1435).
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valentine Phoenix | Kahibah FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/33/56% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.8 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentine Phoenix 1–0–1 Kahibah FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Kahibah FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Valentine Phoenix |
| 08/06/19 Australia FFA Cup | Kahibah FC | 1-8 HT 1-2 | Valentine Phoenix |
Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Belmont Swansea United SC | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 30 | 32 |
| 3 | Edgeworth Eagles | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 29 | 29 |
| 4 | Weston Workers FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 27 | 27 |
| 5 | Maitland FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 27 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 31 | 23 |
| 7 | Lambton Jaffas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 22 |
| 8 | Newcastle Olympic FC | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 18 |
| 9 | Adamstown Rosebud | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 17 |
| 10 | Valentine Phoenix | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 16 |
| 11 | Kahibah FC | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 40 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valentine Phoenix | Kahibah FC |
|---|---|---|
| Cooks Hill United | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Lambton Jaffas | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Edgeworth Eagles | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Broadmeadow Magic | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Belmont Swansea United SC | 1-1 D | 3-6 L |
| Weston Workers FC | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Newcastle Olympic FC | 1-6 L | 3-3 D |
| Charlestown Azzurri | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Valentine Phoenix (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentine Phoenix
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/05 | Maitland FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-3 | 1-6 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Kahibah FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentine Phoenix vs Kahibah FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Valentine Phoenix win (42%). Probabilities: Valentine Phoenix 42%, draw 23%, Kahibah FC 35%.
How many goals are expected in Valentine Phoenix vs Kahibah FC?
The model expects 3.41 goals (Valentine Phoenix 1.8 · Kahibah FC 1.62), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Valentine Phoenix vs Kahibah FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.