Prediction: Broadmeadow Magic vs Newcastle Olympic FC
Expected goals: 4.02 (Broadmeadow Magic 2.6 · Newcastle Olympic FC 1.43). The model gives 62% home, 19% draw, 19% away. Over 3.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Recent form leaves Broadmeadow Magic with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Newcastle Olympic FC has piled up 2-4-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Broadmeadow Magic won 6 and Newcastle Olympic FC 0.
| Broadmeadow Magic | Draw | Newcastle Olympic FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 19% | 19% |
| Market | 62% | 19% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Broadmeadow Magic (rating 1594 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Broadmeadow Magic: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Broadmeadow Magic | Newcastle Olympic FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 1.3 | 2.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 6.1 | 1.7 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Broadmeadow Magic 6–0–0 Newcastle Olympic FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Newcastle Olympic FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Broadmeadow Magic |
| 29/06/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Newcastle Olympic FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Broadmeadow Magic |
| 30/03/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Broadmeadow Magic | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Newcastle Olympic FC |
| 21/07/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Newcastle Olympic FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Broadmeadow Magic |
| 07/04/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Broadmeadow Magic | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Newcastle Olympic FC |
| 04/06/23 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Broadmeadow Magic | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Newcastle Olympic FC |
Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Belmont Swansea United SC | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 30 | 32 |
| 3 | Edgeworth Eagles | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 29 | 29 |
| 4 | Weston Workers FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 27 | 27 |
| 5 | Maitland FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 27 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 31 | 23 |
| 7 | Lambton Jaffas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 22 |
| 8 | Newcastle Olympic FC | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 18 |
| 9 | Adamstown Rosebud | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 17 |
| 10 | Valentine Phoenix | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 16 |
| 11 | Kahibah FC | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 40 | 14 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Broadmeadow Magic | Newcastle Olympic FC |
|---|---|---|
| Weston Workers FC | 5-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Belmont Swansea United SC | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Adamstown Rosebud | 5-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Valentine Phoenix | 1-1 D | 6-1 W |
| Lambton Jaffas | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Edgeworth Eagles | 3-2 W | 3-3 D |
| Charlestown Azzurri | 5-3 W | 7-1 W |
| Kahibah FC | 3-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Maitland FC | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Cooks Hill United | 6-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 7 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 4 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Broadmeadow Magic (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Broadmeadow Magic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 31/05 | Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 5-3 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/04 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
6-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Newcastle Olympic FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
4-0 | 7-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Broadmeadow Magic vs Newcastle Olympic FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Broadmeadow Magic win (62%). Probabilities: Broadmeadow Magic 62%, draw 19%, Newcastle Olympic FC 19%.
How many goals are expected in Broadmeadow Magic vs Newcastle Olympic FC?
The model expects 4.02 goals (Broadmeadow Magic 2.6 · Newcastle Olympic FC 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Broadmeadow Magic vs Newcastle Olympic FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.