Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 18/07, 06:30
Prediction: Lambton Jaffas vs Maitland FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.49Total
Lambton Jaffas1.79
Maitland FC1.7
1X2
Lambton Jaffas
Draw
Maitland FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lambton Jaffas
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Maitland FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lambton Jaffas
4–2
Maitland FC
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lambton Jaffas 1517 · Maitland FC 1515
| Lambton Jaffas | Draw | Maitland FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 24% | 36% |
| Market | 41% | 22% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Lambton Jaffas: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lambton Jaffas | Maitland FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 67/11/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6 | 2.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lambton Jaffas 4–0–2 Maitland FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Maitland FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Lambton Jaffas |
| 17/08/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Lambton Jaffas | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Maitland FC |
| 10/08/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Lambton Jaffas | 4-2 HT 2-2 | Maitland FC |
| 10/05/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Maitland FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lambton Jaffas |
| 29/06/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Lambton Jaffas | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Maitland FC |
| 30/04/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Maitland FC | 0-5 HT 0-0 | Lambton Jaffas |
Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 49 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Weston Workers FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 39 | 29 | 33 |
| 3 | Belmont Swansea United SC | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 30 | 32 |
| 4 | Maitland FC | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 30 |
| 5 | Edgeworth Eagles | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 29 | 29 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 31 | 26 |
| 7 | Lambton Jaffas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 22 |
| 8 | Valentine Phoenix | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 36 | 19 |
| 9 | Newcastle Olympic FC | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 18 |
| 10 | Adamstown Rosebud | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 36 | 17 |
| 11 | Kahibah FC | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 41 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 49 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lambton Jaffas | Maitland FC |
|---|---|---|
| Weston Workers FC | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Valentine Phoenix | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Edgeworth Eagles | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Adamstown Rosebud | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Charlestown Azzurri | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Broadmeadow Magic | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Newcastle Olympic FC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Belmont Swansea United SC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Maitland FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lambton Jaffas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 14/06 | Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
Maitland FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lambton Jaffas vs Maitland FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lambton Jaffas win (40%). Probabilities: Lambton Jaffas 40%, draw 23%, Maitland FC 37%.
How many goals are expected in Lambton Jaffas vs Maitland FC?
The model expects 3.49 goals (Lambton Jaffas 1.79 · Maitland FC 1.7), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lambton Jaffas vs Maitland FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.