Prediction: Maitland FC vs Adamstown Rosebud
Expected goals: 3.55 (Maitland FC 2.19 · Adamstown Rosebud 1.36). The model gives 56% home, 21% draw, 23% away. Under 3.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Maitland FC is 5-2-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Adamstown Rosebud 3-2-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Maitland FC and 1 for Adamstown Rosebud, with 1 draw.
| Maitland FC | Draw | Adamstown Rosebud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| Market | 56% | 21% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maitland FC (rating 1531 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Maitland FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maitland FC | Adamstown Rosebud | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/22/22% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 1.8 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maitland FC 4–1–1 Adamstown Rosebud
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Adamstown Rosebud | 2-5 HT 0-3 | Maitland FC |
| 31/05/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Maitland FC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Adamstown Rosebud |
| 28/02/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Adamstown Rosebud | 3-4 HT 1-3 | Maitland FC |
| 22/06/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Adamstown Rosebud | 2-7 HT 0-2 | Maitland FC |
| 23/03/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Maitland FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Adamstown Rosebud |
| 13/08/23 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Adamstown Rosebud | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Maitland FC |
Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Belmont Swansea United SC | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 30 | 32 |
| 3 | Edgeworth Eagles | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 29 | 29 |
| 4 | Weston Workers FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 27 | 27 |
| 5 | Maitland FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 27 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 31 | 23 |
| 7 | Lambton Jaffas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 22 |
| 8 | Newcastle Olympic FC | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 18 |
| 9 | Adamstown Rosebud | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 17 |
| 10 | Valentine Phoenix | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 16 |
| 11 | Kahibah FC | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 40 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maitland FC | Adamstown Rosebud |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Olympic FC | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Belmont Swansea United SC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Weston Workers FC | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Cooks Hill United | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Edgeworth Eagles | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Charlestown Azzurri | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Broadmeadow Magic | 2-2 D | 1-5 L |
| Lambton Jaffas | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Maitland FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maitland FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Adamstown Rosebud
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 13/06 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maitland FC vs Adamstown Rosebud?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maitland FC win (56%). Probabilities: Maitland FC 56%, draw 21%, Adamstown Rosebud 23%.
How many goals are expected in Maitland FC vs Adamstown Rosebud?
The model expects 3.55 goals (Maitland FC 2.19 · Adamstown Rosebud 1.36), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Maitland FC vs Adamstown Rosebud?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.