Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 15/07, 12:00

Prediction: Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Workers FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.97Total

Charlestown Azzurri1.5

Weston Workers FC2.47

1X2

21% 20% 58%

Charlestown Azzurri Draw Weston Workers FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Charlestown Azzurri 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLDLLL

Weston Workers FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLWLDDLW

Head-to-head

Charlestown Azzurri 4–2 Weston Workers FC (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charlestown Azzurri 1421 · Weston Workers FC 1503

	Charlestown Azzurri	Draw	Weston Workers FC
Our model	22%	20%	58%
Market	21%	21%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weston Workers FC (rating 1421 vs 1503).
H2H favours Charlestown Azzurri: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Charlestown Azzurri	Weston Workers FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 3.2	1.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.6	1.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.9	3.1 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlestown Azzurri 4–0–2 Weston Workers FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Weston Workers FC	2-4 HT 0-3	Charlestown Azzurri
30/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Weston Workers FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Charlestown Azzurri
16/02/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Charlestown Azzurri	3-1 HT 2-1	Weston Workers FC
21/07/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Weston Workers FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Charlestown Azzurri
07/04/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Charlestown Azzurri	1-3 HT 0-0	Weston Workers FC
27/08/23 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Charlestown Azzurri	1-0 HT 1-0	Weston Workers FC

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic	18	12	4	2	49	22	40
2	Belmont Swansea United SC	17	9	5	3	40	30	32
3	Weston Workers FC	17	9	3	5	34	29	30
4	Maitland FC	17	9	3	5	33	28	30
5	Edgeworth Eagles	17	8	5	4	34	29	29
6	Cooks Hill United	18	7	5	6	36	31	26
7	Lambton Jaffas	18	6	4	8	35	29	22
8	Valentine Phoenix	18	5	4	9	18	36	19
9	Newcastle Olympic FC	18	4	6	8	33	32	18
10	Adamstown Rosebud	18	4	5	9	25	36	17
11	Kahibah FC	17	4	2	11	26	41	14
12	Charlestown Azzurri	17	4	2	11	24	44	14

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Charlestown Azzurri	Weston Workers FC
Cooks Hill United	0-4 L	3-3 D
Newcastle Olympic FC	1-7 L	2-1 W
Belmont Swansea United SC	1-3 L	2-2 D
Kahibah FC	1-4 L	2-1 W
Lambton Jaffas	1-3 L	3-2 W
Edgeworth Eagles	0-0 D	2-2 D
Adamstown Rosebud	0-2 L	2-0 W
Broadmeadow Magic	3-5 L	1-5 L
Maitland FC	3-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 7 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Weston Workers FC (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Charlestown Azzurri

WLLDLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-3	0-4	6	3	L
01/07	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-4	1-7	6	4	L
27/06	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-3	1-3	5	6	L
24/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	2-2	0	6	D
21/06	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	1-4	7	3	L
14/06	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-2	1-3	5	5	L
06/06	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
16/05	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
10/05	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	3-5	3	3	L
02/05	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-2	3-2	7	3	W

Weston Workers FC

WWDLWLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	3-2	8	6	W
28/06	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	1-5	5	2	L
20/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-1	3-3	3	1	D
13/06	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-2	15	1	D
23/05	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
17/05	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
09/05	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-2	4	5	L
03/05	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
25/04	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
19/04	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Workers FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Weston Workers FC win (58%). Probabilities: Charlestown Azzurri 21%, draw 20%, Weston Workers FC 58%.

How many goals are expected in Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Workers FC?

The model expects 3.97 goals (Charlestown Azzurri 1.5 · Weston Workers FC 2.47), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Workers FC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.