Prediction: Cooks Hill United vs Charlestown Azzurri

Expected goals: 3.94 (Cooks Hill United 2.03 · Charlestown Azzurri 1.92). The model gives 41% home, 22% draw, 37% away. Under 3.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Cooks Hill United sits at 5-3-2 (W-D-L), while Charlestown Azzurri arrives on a 1-2-7 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Cooks Hill United won 4 and Charlestown Azzurri 1, with 1 draw.

41%1
41% 22% 37%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cooks Hill United 1522 · Charlestown Azzurri 1406
Cooks Hill UnitedDrawCharlestown Azzurri
Our model41%22%37%
Market41%22%37%
Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.94Cooks Hill United 2.03 · Charlestown Azzurri 1.92
Over / Under 3.75Under 3.75 · 51%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cooks Hill United (rating 1522 vs 1406).
  • H2H favours Cooks Hill United: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cooks Hill UnitedCharlestown Azzurri
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.41.3 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.2 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.52.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 0.24.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cooks Hill United 411 Charlestown Azzurri

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/06/26
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
Charlestown Azzurri2-2
HT 0-0
Cooks Hill United
19/07/25
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
Charlestown Azzurri1-2
HT 0-0
Cooks Hill United
26/04/25
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
Cooks Hill United1-0
HT 0-0
Charlestown Azzurri
16/06/24
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
Charlestown Azzurri1-4
HT 0-2
Cooks Hill United
16/03/24
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
Cooks Hill United0-2
HT 0-1
Charlestown Azzurri
01/07/23
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
Cooks Hill United4-0
HT 2-0
Charlestown Azzurri

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Broadmeadow Magic 171142 472137
2 Belmont Swansea United SC 17953 403032
3 Edgeworth Eagles 17854 342929
4 Weston Workers FC 16835 312727
5 Maitland FC 16835 302727
6 Cooks Hill United 17656 323123
7 Lambton Jaffas 17647 332622
8 Newcastle Olympic FC 17467 323018
9 Adamstown Rosebud 17458 243317
10 Valentine Phoenix 17449 153416
11 Kahibah FC 164210 243814
12 Charlestown Azzurri 164210 244014

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCooks Hill UnitedCharlestown Azzurri
Valentine Phoenix 3-1 W 1-2 L
Newcastle Olympic FC 0-0 D 1-7 L
Edgeworth Eagles 1-0 W 0-0 D
Belmont Swansea United SC 1-3 L 1-3 L
Maitland FC 3-1 W 3-2 W
Kahibah FC 3-0 W 1-4 L
Adamstown Rosebud 3-1 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Cooks Hill United (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cooks Hill United

WWLWLWDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Valentine Phoenix
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
1-0 3-1 64 W
27/06 Newcastle Olympic FC
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
0-0 0-0 82 D
24/06 Charlestown Azzurri
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
0-0 2-2 46 D
20/06 Weston Workers FC
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
1-2 3-3 31 D
13/06 Edgeworth Eagles
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
1-0 1-0 80 W
05/06 Belmont Swansea United SC
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
0-1 1-3 34 L
15/05 Maitland FC
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
3-1 3-1 52 W
12/05 Edgeworth Eagles
Australia Cup Qualifying
0-1 0-3 22 L
08/05 Kahibah FC
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
1-0 3-0 94 W
02/05 Adamstown Rosebud
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
1-0 3-1 72 W

Charlestown Azzurri

LWLLDLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 Newcastle Olympic FC
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
0-4 1-7 64 L
27/06 Belmont Swansea United SC
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
0-3 1-3 56 L
24/06 Cooks Hill United
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
0-0 2-2 06 D
21/06 Kahibah FC
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
1-1 1-4 73 L
14/06 Lambton Jaffas
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
0-2 1-3 55 L
06/06 Edgeworth Eagles
Australia Cup Qualifying
0-0 0-0 46 D
16/05 Adamstown Rosebud
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
0-0 0-2 65 L
10/05 Broadmeadow Magic
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
1-1 3-5 33 L
02/05 Maitland FC
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
0-2 3-2 73 W
26/04 Valentine Phoenix
Australia Northern NSW Premier League
0-1 1-2 93 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cooks Hill United vs Charlestown Azzurri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cooks Hill United win (41%). Probabilities: Cooks Hill United 41%, draw 22%, Charlestown Azzurri 37%.

How many goals are expected in Cooks Hill United vs Charlestown Azzurri?

The model expects 3.94 goals (Cooks Hill United 2.03 · Charlestown Azzurri 1.92), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cooks Hill United vs Charlestown Azzurri?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.