Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 08/08, 08:30

Prediction: Belmont Swansea United SC vs Lambton Jaffas

Team pages: Belmont Swansea United SC · Lambton Jaffas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Belmont Swansea United SC1.7

Lambton Jaffas1.6

1X2

40% 24% 36%

Belmont Swansea United SC Draw Lambton Jaffas

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Belmont Swansea United SC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWDWWLLL

Lambton Jaffas 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLDLLL

Head-to-head

Belmont Swansea United SC 1–1–1 Lambton Jaffas (3 last)

Lambton Jaffas1-2Belmont Swansea United SC
Belmont Swansea United SC0-3Lambton Jaffas
Lambton Jaffas1-1Belmont Swansea United SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Belmont Swansea United SC 1501 · Lambton Jaffas 1474

	Belmont Swansea United SC	Draw	Lambton Jaffas
Our model	40%	25%	35%
Market	41%	22%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Belmont Swansea United SC	Lambton Jaffas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	2.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X4.00

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.20 → 2.45▲	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:07 +2’	2.45	4.00	2.20
06:02 +5’	2.20▼	4.00	2.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Belmont Swansea United SC 1–1–1 Lambton Jaffas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Lambton Jaffas	1-2 HT 1-1	Belmont Swansea United SC
13/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Belmont Swansea United SC	0-3 HT 0-1	Lambton Jaffas
12/04/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Lambton Jaffas	1-1 HT 0-0	Belmont Swansea United SC

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic	20	14	4	2	51	22	46
2	Weston Workers FC	19	11	3	5	44	31	36
3	Edgeworth Eagles	19	10	5	4	38	29	35
4	Maitland FC	19	10	3	6	34	29	33
5	Belmont Swansea United SC	20	9	5	6	43	40	32
6	Cooks Hill United	20	8	5	7	37	32	29
7	Lambton Jaffas	20	6	4	10	35	31	22
8	Valentine Phoenix	20	6	4	10	20	38	22
9	Newcastle Olympic FC	20	5	6	9	38	36	21
10	Adamstown Rosebud	19	5	5	9	27	37	20
11	Kahibah FC	19	5	2	12	31	47	17
12	Charlestown Azzurri	19	4	2	13	24	50	14

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Belmont Swansea United SC	Lambton Jaffas
Edgeworth Eagles	0-2 L	2-3 L
Kahibah FC	1-3 L	4-0 W
Newcastle Olympic FC	2-5 L	2-0 W
Charlestown Azzurri	3-1 W	3-1 W
Broadmeadow Magic	1-0 W	1-2 L
Weston Workers FC	2-2 D	2-3 L
Cooks Hill United	3-1 W	0-1 L
Maitland FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Valentine Phoenix	1-1 D	1-1 D
Adamstown Rosebud	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Belmont Swansea United SC

DDLWDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
26/07	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	1-3	5	4	L
22/07	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-4	2-5	2	1	L
27/06	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	3-0	3-1	3	6	W
20/06	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
13/06	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-2	6	1	D
05/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	3-1	12	4	W
30/05	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
16/05	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
09/05	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-0	2-2	8	2	D

Lambton Jaffas

WWLWDLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
18/07	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
11/07	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-3	3	6	L
27/06	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
23/06	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	2-3	7	1	L
20/06	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
14/06	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-0	3-1	4	5	W
31/05	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	1-2	12	4	L
16/05	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	4-0	6	6	W
10/05	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	2-0	7	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Belmont Swansea United SC vs Lambton Jaffas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Belmont Swansea United SC win (40%). Probabilities: Belmont Swansea United SC 40%, draw 24%, Lambton Jaffas 36%.

How many goals are expected in Belmont Swansea United SC vs Lambton Jaffas?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Belmont Swansea United SC 1.7 · Lambton Jaffas 1.6), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Belmont Swansea United SC vs Lambton Jaffas?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.