Football · South Korea K League 1 · 22/07, 12:30
Prediction: Bucheon vs FC Anyang
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Bucheon1.12
FC Anyang1.18
1X2
Bucheon
Draw
FC Anyang
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bucheon
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
FC Anyang
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bucheon
1–3–2
FC Anyang
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bucheon 1465 · FC Anyang 1512
| Bucheon | Draw | FC Anyang | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 33% | 30% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Anyang (rating 1465 vs 1512).
- H2H favours FC Anyang: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bucheon | FC Anyang | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.5 | 1.3 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bucheon 1–3–2 FC Anyang
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 South Korea K League 1 | FC Anyang | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bucheon |
| 02/11/24 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Anyang |
| 30/06/24 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC Anyang |
| 10/04/24 South Korea K League 2 | FC Anyang | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Bucheon |
| 21/10/23 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Anyang |
| 03/06/23 South Korea K League 2 | FC Anyang | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Bucheon |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | Gangwon FC | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 29 |
| 4 | Ulsan HD | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 28 |
| 5 | Pohang Steelers | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 16 | 28 |
| 6 | Incheon Utd | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 19 | 24 |
| 7 | FC Anyang | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 23 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
| 10 | Bucheon | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 18 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 16 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bucheon | FC Anyang |
|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Pohang Steelers | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Ulsan HD | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Jeju United | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Anyang (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bucheon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 05/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 21/04 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
FC Anyang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/07 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 05/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
3-0 | 5-2 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 22/04 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bucheon vs FC Anyang?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Anyang win (37%). Probabilities: Bucheon 33%, draw 30%, FC Anyang 37%.
How many goals are expected in Bucheon vs FC Anyang?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Bucheon 1.12 · FC Anyang 1.18), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Bucheon vs FC Anyang?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.