Football · South Korea K League 1 · 22/07, 12:30

Prediction: FC Seoul vs Pohang Steelers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
FC Seoul1.4
Pohang Steelers0.8
1X2
51% 29% 21%
FC Seoul Draw Pohang Steelers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
FC Seoul 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWLDLWWWDW
Pohang Steelers 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWLWWL
Head-to-head
FC Seoul 2–2–2 Pohang Steelers (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Seoul 1554 · Pohang Steelers 1544
FC SeoulDrawPohang Steelers
Our model50%30%20%
Market51%28%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC SeoulPohang Steelers
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.81.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.20.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.12.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.43.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Seoul 222 Pohang Steelers

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/03/26
South Korea K League 1
Pohang Steelers0-1
HT 0-1
FC Seoul
09/11/25
South Korea K League 1
Pohang Steelers0-0
HT 0-0
FC Seoul
18/10/25
South Korea K League 1
FC Seoul1-2
HT 0-1
Pohang Steelers
29/06/25
South Korea K League 1
FC Seoul4-1
HT 3-0
Pohang Steelers
27/04/25
South Korea K League 1
Pohang Steelers1-0
HT 1-0
FC Seoul
02/11/24
South Korea K League 1
FC Seoul1-1
HT 1-1
Pohang Steelers

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Seoul 171133 281236
2 Gangwon FC 18873 231131
3 Jeonbuk Motors 18855 251629
4 Ulsan HD 18846 262628
5 Pohang Steelers 18846 191628
6 Incheon Utd 18738 221924
7 FC Anyang 17584 221923
8 Jeju United 18657 161823
9 Daejeon Hana Citizen 18477 212019
10 Bucheon 17476 141819
11 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 182106 172516
12 Gwangju FC 171511 8418

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC SeoulPohang Steelers
Bucheon 3-1 W 0-2 L
Gangwon FC 0-0 D 1-1 D
Incheon Utd 1-0 W 1-0 W
Daejeon Hana Citizen 2-1 W 2-0 W
Gwangju FC 1-0 W 3-0 W
Jeju United 1-2 L 1-2 L
FC Anyang 0-0 D 3-2 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 1 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pohang Steelers (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Seoul

WWLDLWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Bucheon
South Korea K League 1
1-0 3-1 47 W
12/07 Gangwon FC
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 43 D
05/07 Incheon Utd
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-0 34 W
16/05 Daejeon Hana Citizen
South Korea K League 1
1-0 2-1 66 W
12/05 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-0 93 W
09/05 Jeju United
South Korea K League 1
0-1 1-2 123 L
05/05 FC Anyang
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-0 36 D
02/05 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korea K League 1
1-1 2-3 65 L
25/04 Gangwon FC
South Korea K League 1
1-0 2-1 35 W
21/04 Bucheon
South Korea K League 1
2-0 3-0 16 W

Pohang Steelers

WLWDWWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Jeju United
South Korea K League 1
1-0 1-2 74 L
11/07 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
1-0 3-0 23 W
04/07 FC Anyang
South Korea K League 1
1-1 3-2 25 W
17/05 Bucheon
South Korea K League 1
0-0 0-2 63 L
12/05 Incheon Utd
South Korea K League 1
1-0 1-0 44 W
09/05 Daejeon Hana Citizen
South Korea K League 1
0-0 2-0 54 W
05/05 Gangwon FC
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-1 34 D
02/05 Ulsan HD
South Korea K League 1
0-0 1-0 21 W
26/04 Jeonbuk Motors
South Korea K League 1
1-2 2-3 45 L
22/04 Gwangju FC
South Korea K League 1
1-0 1-0 53 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Seoul vs Pohang Steelers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Seoul win (51%). Probabilities: FC Seoul 51%, draw 29%, Pohang Steelers 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Seoul vs Pohang Steelers?

The model expects 2.2 goals (FC Seoul 1.4 · Pohang Steelers 0.8), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Seoul vs Pohang Steelers?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.