Prediction: Incheon Utd vs Bucheon
Team pages: Incheon Utd · Bucheon
- Incheon Utd1-1Bucheon
- Bucheon2-2Incheon Utd
- Bucheon1-0Incheon Utd
- Incheon Utd1-0Bucheon
- Bucheon1-3Incheon Utd
- Incheon Utd2-0Bucheon
| Incheon Utd | Draw | Bucheon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 27% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Incheon Utd: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Incheon Utd | Bucheon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Incheon Utd 3–2–1 Bucheon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Bucheon |
| 18/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Bucheon | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Incheon Utd |
| 07/09/25 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Incheon Utd |
| 08/06/25 South Korea K League 2 | Incheon Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bucheon |
| 26/04/25 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Incheon Utd |
| 29/04/15 South Korea Cup | Incheon Utd | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Bucheon |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Ulsan HD | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 41 |
| 4 | Jeju SK | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 39 |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 37 |
| 6 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 32 | 35 |
| 7 | Pohang Steelers | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 31 | 35 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 39 | 34 |
| 9 | Incheon Utd | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 29 | 34 |
| 10 | Bucheon | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 31 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 26 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 24 | 32 | 27 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 26 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 57 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Incheon Utd | Bucheon |
|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| FC Anyang | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Gwangju FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bucheon (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Incheon Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 26/08 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 23/08 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 21/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Bucheon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 22/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Incheon Utd vs Bucheon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Incheon Utd win (53%). Probabilities: Incheon Utd 53%, draw 27%, Bucheon 20%.
How many goals are expected in Incheon Utd vs Bucheon?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Incheon Utd 1.54 · Bucheon 0.85), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Incheon Utd vs Bucheon?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.