Football · South Korea K League 1 · 12/09, 12:00

Prediction: Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Pohang Steelers

Team pages: Daejeon Hana Citizen · Pohang Steelers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Daejeon Hana Citizen1.75

Pohang Steelers0.95

1X2

55% 26% 19%

Daejeon Hana Citizen Draw Pohang Steelers

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Daejeon Hana Citizen 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLWWLWLW

Pohang Steelers 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLWDL

Head-to-head

Daejeon Hana Citizen 3–3 Pohang Steelers (6 last)

Daejeon Hana Citizen0-2Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers1-0Daejeon Hana Citizen
Daejeon Hana Citizen2-0Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers1-3Daejeon Hana Citizen
Daejeon Hana Citizen1-3Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers0-3Daejeon Hana Citizen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Daejeon Hana Citizen 1536 · Pohang Steelers 1470

	Daejeon Hana Citizen	Draw	Pohang Steelers
Our model	55%	26%	19%
Market	55%	26%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daejeon Hana Citizen (rating 1536 vs 1470).
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Daejeon Hana Citizen	Pohang Steelers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	0.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.5	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.60

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:52 +4’	1.67	3.60	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Daejeon Hana Citizen 3–0–3 Pohang Steelers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 South Korea K League 1	Daejeon Hana Citizen	0-2 HT 0-0	Pohang Steelers
04/04/26 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	1-0 HT 1-0	Daejeon Hana Citizen
26/10/25 South Korea K League 1	Daejeon Hana Citizen	2-0 HT 2-0	Pohang Steelers
05/10/25 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	1-3 HT 1-1	Daejeon Hana Citizen
27/05/25 South Korea K League 1	Daejeon Hana Citizen	1-3 HT 1-2	Pohang Steelers
15/02/25 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	0-3 HT 0-1	Daejeon Hana Citizen

Standings · South Korea K League 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	28	18	5	5	53	22	59
2	Ulsan HD	28	13	5	10	42	37	44
3	Jeonbuk Motors	27	11	9	7	34	23	42
4	Gangwon FC	26	10	10	6	33	24	40
5	Jeju SK	27	10	9	8	31	27	39
6	Incheon Utd	27	10	7	10	34	30	37
7	Daejeon Hana Citizen	27	9	8	10	40	32	35
8	Pohang Steelers	27	10	5	12	24	31	35
9	FC Anyang	27	8	10	9	33	42	34
10	Bucheon	28	7	10	11	29	36	31
11	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	27	4	16	7	26	34	28
12	Gwangju FC	27	1	10	16	18	59	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Daejeon Hana Citizen	Pohang Steelers
Bucheon	5-0 W	0-3 L
Jeju SK	1-3 L	2-1 W
Ulsan HD	2-1 W	0-2 L
FC Seoul	2-4 L	1-3 L
Gwangju FC	2-0 W	2-1 W
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	2-3 L	0-1 L
Jeonbuk Motors	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Daejeon Hana Citizen (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daejeon Hana Citizen

DDDLWWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	2-0	5-0	5	3	W
30/08	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
26/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-1	7	4	W
15/08	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-4	8	6	L
08/08	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
02/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-0	8	2	W
25/07	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
21/07	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
18/07	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	2-1	2-2	6	1	D
12/07	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	9	2	D

Pohang Steelers

LLLLLWLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
30/08	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
25/08	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
22/08	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-2	0-3	6	2	L
15/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
08/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
01/08	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
25/07	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
22/07	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-3	3	1	L
18/07	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	1-0	1-2	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Daejeon Hana Citizen win (55%). Probabilities: Daejeon Hana Citizen 55%, draw 26%, Pohang Steelers 19%.

How many goals are expected in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Daejeon Hana Citizen 1.75 · Pohang Steelers 0.95), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.