Football · South Korea K League 1 · 12/09, 09:30
Prediction: Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul
Team pages: Jeonbuk Motors · FC Seoul
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Jeonbuk Motors1.12
FC Seoul1.23
1X2
Jeonbuk Motors
Draw
FC Seoul
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Jeonbuk Motors
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
FC Seoul
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jeonbuk Motors
2–3–1
FC Seoul
(6 last)
- Jeonbuk Motors0-0FC Seoul
- FC Seoul1-0Jeonbuk Motors
- Jeonbuk Motors2-1FC Seoul
- FC Seoul1-1Jeonbuk Motors
- FC Seoul0-1Jeonbuk Motors
- Jeonbuk Motors1-1FC Seoul
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeonbuk Motors 1496 · FC Seoul 1548
| Jeonbuk Motors | Draw | FC Seoul | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Seoul (rating 1496 vs 1548).
- H2H favours Jeonbuk Motors: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jeonbuk Motors | FC Seoul | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 2.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 3.1 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeonbuk Motors 2–3–1 FC Seoul
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 South Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk Motors | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Seoul |
| 11/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | FC Seoul | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 30/11/25 South Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk Motors | 2-1 HT 0-0 | FC Seoul |
| 27/09/25 South Korea K League 1 | FC Seoul | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 02/07/25 South Korea Cup | FC Seoul | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 21/06/25 South Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FC Seoul |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 22 | 59 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 37 | 44 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 23 | 42 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 40 |
| 5 | Jeju SK | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 39 |
| 6 | Incheon Utd | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 30 | 37 |
| 7 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 32 | 35 |
| 8 | Pohang Steelers | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 31 | 35 |
| 9 | FC Anyang | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 42 | 34 |
| 10 | Bucheon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 36 | 31 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 27 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 26 | 34 | 28 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 27 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jeonbuk Motors | FC Seoul |
|---|---|---|
| Pohang Steelers | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Incheon Utd | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Ulsan HD | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Bucheon | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Seoul (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeonbuk Motors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 25/08 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
FC Seoul
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
5-0 | 7-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/07 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Seoul win (38%). Probabilities: Jeonbuk Motors 33%, draw 29%, FC Seoul 38%.
How many goals are expected in Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Jeonbuk Motors 1.12 · FC Seoul 1.23), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.