Football · South Korea K League 1 · 13/09, 12:00
Prediction: Gwangju FC vs FC Anyang
Team pages: Gwangju FC · FC Anyang
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Gwangju FC1.3
FC Anyang1.46
1X2
Gwangju FC
Draw
FC Anyang
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Gwangju FC
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
FC Anyang
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gwangju FC
3–2–1
FC Anyang
(6 last)
- FC Anyang1-1Gwangju FC
- Gwangju FC2-5FC Anyang
- Gwangju FC1-0FC Anyang
- FC Anyang0-0Gwangju FC
- FC Anyang1-2Gwangju FC
- Gwangju FC2-1FC Anyang
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gwangju FC 1438 · FC Anyang 1478
| Gwangju FC | Draw | FC Anyang | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 32% | 29% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Anyang (rating 1438 vs 1478).
- H2H favours Gwangju FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gwangju FC | FC Anyang | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 1.3 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.4 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gwangju FC 3–2–1 FC Anyang
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/26 South Korea K League 1 | FC Anyang | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 26/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 2-5 HT 0-3 | FC Anyang |
| 25/10/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Anyang |
| 28/09/25 South Korea K League 1 | FC Anyang | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 28/06/25 South Korea K League 1 | FC Anyang | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Gwangju FC |
| 01/03/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FC Anyang |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 23 | 62 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 38 | 47 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 36 | 26 | 43 |
| 4 | Jeju SK | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 43 |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 25 | 41 |
| 6 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 39 |
| 7 | Incheon Utd | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 32 | 37 |
| 8 | Pohang Steelers | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 33 | 37 |
| 9 | FC Anyang | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 45 | 34 |
| 10 | Bucheon | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 38 | 32 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 28 | 4 | 17 | 7 | 26 | 34 | 29 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 18 | 60 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gwangju FC | FC Anyang |
|---|---|---|
| Jeju SK | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| FC Seoul | 2-5 L | 0-7 L |
| Gangwon FC | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Incheon Utd | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Bucheon | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Gwangju FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gwangju FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
FC Anyang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/08 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-5 | 0-7 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gwangju FC vs FC Anyang?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Anyang win (39%). Probabilities: Gwangju FC 32%, draw 28%, FC Anyang 39%.
How many goals are expected in Gwangju FC vs FC Anyang?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Gwangju FC 1.3 · FC Anyang 1.46), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gwangju FC vs FC Anyang?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.