Football · South Korea K League 1 · 09/09, 12:30

Prediction: Daejeon Hana Citizen vs FC Anyang

Team pages: Daejeon Hana Citizen · FC Anyang

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Daejeon Hana Citizen2.08

FC Anyang1.12

1X2

58% 23% 18%

Daejeon Hana Citizen Draw FC Anyang

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Daejeon Hana Citizen 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLWWLWLW

FC Anyang 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLLWDL

Head-to-head

Daejeon Hana Citizen 3–2–1 FC Anyang (6 last)

FC Anyang1-2Daejeon Hana Citizen
Daejeon Hana Citizen1-1FC Anyang
FC Anyang3-2Daejeon Hana Citizen
FC Anyang1-1Daejeon Hana Citizen
Daejeon Hana Citizen2-1FC Anyang
FC Anyang0-1Daejeon Hana Citizen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Daejeon Hana Citizen 1539 · FC Anyang 1489

	Daejeon Hana Citizen	Draw	FC Anyang
Our model	59%	23%	19%
Market	58%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daejeon Hana Citizen (rating 1539 vs 1489).
H2H favours Daejeon Hana Citizen: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Daejeon Hana Citizen	FC Anyang
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	1.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.5	1.5 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.80

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.59
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.12 ★
2	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.39

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10% Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:25 +1’	1.57	3.80	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:39 +107’	1.59	4.12	5.39

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Daejeon Hana Citizen 3–2–1 FC Anyang

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 South Korea K League 1	FC Anyang	1-2 HT 0-2	Daejeon Hana Citizen
02/03/26 South Korea K League 1	Daejeon Hana Citizen	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Anyang
24/08/25 South Korea K League 1	FC Anyang	3-2 HT 1-1	Daejeon Hana Citizen
31/05/25 South Korea K League 1	FC Anyang	1-1 HT 0-1	Daejeon Hana Citizen
03/05/25 South Korea K League 1	Daejeon Hana Citizen	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Anyang
21/09/22 South Korea K League 2	FC Anyang	0-1 HT 0-0	Daejeon Hana Citizen

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	27	18	5	4	53	21	59
2	Jeonbuk Motors	27	11	9	7	34	23	42
3	Ulsan HD	27	12	5	10	41	37	41
4	Gangwon FC	26	10	10	6	33	24	40
5	Jeju SK	27	10	9	8	31	27	39
6	Daejeon Hana Citizen	27	9	8	10	40	32	35
7	Pohang Steelers	27	10	5	12	24	31	35
8	FC Anyang	27	8	10	9	33	42	34
9	Incheon Utd	26	9	7	10	32	29	34
10	Bucheon	27	7	10	10	28	34	31
11	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	27	4	16	7	26	34	28
12	Gwangju FC	27	1	10	16	18	59	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Daejeon Hana Citizen	FC Anyang
Bucheon	5-0 W	1-1 D
Jeju SK	1-3 L	0-2 L
Ulsan HD	2-1 W	1-3 L
FC Seoul	2-4 L	0-7 L
Gwangju FC	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Daejeon Hana Citizen (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daejeon Hana Citizen

DDDLWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	2-0	5-0	5	3	W
30/08	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
26/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-1	7	4	W
15/08	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-4	8	6	L
08/08	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
02/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-0	8	2	W
25/07	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
21/07	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
18/07	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	2-1	2-2	6	1	D
12/07	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	9	2	D

FC Anyang

DWWLLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
29/08	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
26/08	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	1-1	2-1	1	8	W
22/08	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-5	0-7	1	5	L
15/08	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
08/08	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	0-2	1-2	5	4	L
02/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-3	1	1	L
26/07	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-1	2	2	W
22/07	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	1-1	3-2	5	4	W
19/07	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs FC Anyang?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Daejeon Hana Citizen win (58%). Probabilities: Daejeon Hana Citizen 58%, draw 23%, FC Anyang 18%.

How many goals are expected in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs FC Anyang?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Daejeon Hana Citizen 2.08 · FC Anyang 1.12), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs FC Anyang?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.