Football · South Korea K League 1 · 19/09, 09:30
Prediction: Bucheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Team pages: Bucheon · Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Bucheon1.34
Gimcheon Sangmu FC1.06
1X2
Bucheon
Draw
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Bucheon
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2-7-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bucheon
0–2–4
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
(6 last)
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC1-1Bucheon
- Bucheon0-2Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Bucheon1-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC3-1Bucheon
- Bucheon0-3Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC4-1Bucheon
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bucheon | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.3 | 2.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bucheon 0–2–4 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Bucheon |
| 25/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Bucheon | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
| 14/05/25 South Korea Cup | Bucheon | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
| 07/10/23 South Korea K League 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Bucheon |
| 01/07/23 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
| 15/04/23 South Korea K League 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Bucheon |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 23 | 62 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 38 | 47 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 36 | 26 | 43 |
| 4 | Jeju SK | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 43 |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 42 |
| 6 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 39 |
| 7 | Incheon Utd | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 32 | 37 |
| 8 | Pohang Steelers | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 33 | 37 |
| 9 | FC Anyang | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 36 | 46 | 35 |
| 10 | Bucheon | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 38 | 32 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 29 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 28 | 36 | 30 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 29 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 61 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bucheon | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
|---|---|---|
| Jeju SK | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Incheon Utd | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 0-5 L | 3-2 W |
| FC Seoul | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Pohang Steelers | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Gwangju FC | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Gangwon FC | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 7 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bucheon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/09 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 09/09 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bucheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bucheon win (42%). Probabilities: Bucheon 42%, draw 30%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 28%.
How many goals are expected in Bucheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Bucheon 1.34 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.06), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bucheon vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.