Football · South Korea K League 1 · 05/09, 12:00
Prediction: FC Seoul vs Incheon Utd
Team pages: FC Seoul · Incheon Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
FC Seoul1.78
Incheon Utd0.74
1X2
FC Seoul
Draw
Incheon Utd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Seoul
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Incheon Utd
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Seoul
4–1–1
Incheon Utd
(6 last)
- FC Seoul1-0Incheon Utd
- Incheon Utd1-2FC Seoul
- Incheon Utd0-1FC Seoul
- Incheon Utd1-2FC Seoul
- FC Seoul0-0Incheon Utd
- FC Seoul0-1Incheon Utd
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Seoul (rating 1580 vs 1478).
- H2H favours FC Seoul: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Seoul | Incheon Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.3 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Seoul 4–1–1 Incheon Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 South Korea K League 1 | FC Seoul | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Incheon Utd |
| 28/02/26 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FC Seoul |
| 27/07/24 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Seoul |
| 11/05/24 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC Seoul |
| 10/03/24 South Korea K League 1 | FC Seoul | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Incheon Utd |
| 22/07/23 South Korea K League 1 | FC Seoul | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Incheon Utd |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 52 | 21 | 56 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 40 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 23 | 39 |
| 4 | Jeju SK | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 38 |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 37 |
| 6 | Pohang Steelers | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 35 |
| 7 | FC Anyang | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 39 | 34 |
| 8 | Incheon Utd | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
| 9 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 32 | 32 |
| 10 | Bucheon | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 31 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 26 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 24 | 32 | 27 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 26 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 57 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Seoul | Incheon Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Gwangju FC | 5-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Bucheon | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Anyang | 7-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Ulsan HD | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Seoul (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Seoul
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
5-0 | 7-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/07 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Incheon Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 26/08 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 23/08 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 21/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Seoul vs Incheon Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Seoul win (61%). Probabilities: FC Seoul 61%, draw 25%, Incheon Utd 14%.
How many goals are expected in FC Seoul vs Incheon Utd?
The model expects 2.52 goals (FC Seoul 1.78 · Incheon Utd 0.74), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Seoul vs Incheon Utd?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.