Football · South Korea K League 1 · 09/09, 12:30
Prediction: Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Team pages: Pohang Steelers · Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Pohang Steelers1.21
Gimcheon Sangmu FC1.01
1X2
Pohang Steelers
Draw
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Pohang Steelers
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pohang Steelers
1–1–4
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
(6 last)
- Pohang Steelers0-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC1-1Pohang Steelers
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC0-1Pohang Steelers
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC2-0Pohang Steelers
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC1-0Pohang Steelers
- Pohang Steelers1-2Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pohang Steelers 1466 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1492
| Pohang Steelers | Draw | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 31% | 29% |
| Market | 40% | 29% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pohang Steelers | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.5 | 2.9 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pohang Steelers 1–1–4 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 South Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
| 28/02/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Pohang Steelers |
| 01/11/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Pohang Steelers |
| 27/09/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Pohang Steelers |
| 14/06/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Pohang Steelers |
| 02/05/25 South Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Ulsan HD | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 41 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 40 |
| 5 | Jeju SK | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 39 |
| 6 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 32 | 35 |
| 7 | Pohang Steelers | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 31 | 35 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 42 | 34 |
| 9 | Incheon Utd | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 29 | 34 |
| 10 | Bucheon | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 31 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 27 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 26 | 34 | 28 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 27 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pohang Steelers | Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
|---|---|---|
| Jeonbuk Motors | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Gangwon FC | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Jeju SK | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Gwangju FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Ulsan HD | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Seoul | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Pohang Steelers (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pohang Steelers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/08 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pohang Steelers win (40%). Probabilities: Pohang Steelers 40%, draw 30%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 30%.
How many goals are expected in Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Pohang Steelers 1.21 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.