Prediction: University NSW vs Sydney FC U21
Expected goals: 2.62 (University NSW 1.37 · Sydney FC U21 1.25). The model gives 39% home, 27% draw, 33% away. Under 2.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, University NSW is 3-1-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Sydney FC U21 6-2-2 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for University NSW and 0 for Sydney FC U21.
| University NSW | Draw | Sydney FC U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney FC U21 (rating 1466 vs 1541).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| University NSW | Sydney FC U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 6.2 | 2.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 2.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · University NSW 1–0–0 Sydney FC U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney FC U21 | 0-2 HT 0-1 | University NSW |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 49 |
| 2 | Apia L Tigers | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 23 | 48 |
| 3 | Sydney United 58 | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 35 |
| 5 | Sydney FC U21 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 34 |
| 6 | Sutherland Sharks | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 26 | 32 |
| 7 | Wollongong Wolves | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 23 | 31 |
| 8 | NWS Spirit FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 27 |
| 9 | SD Raiders | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 26 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 30 | 26 |
| 11 | Manly Utd | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 24 |
| 12 | St George City FA | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 32 | 24 |
| 13 | University NSW | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 22 |
| 14 | St George Saints | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 34 | 19 |
| 15 | Blacktown City | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 18 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 15 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | University NSW | Sydney FC U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Sutherland Sharks | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Marconi Stallions | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| SD Raiders | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Wollongong Wolves | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Sydney United 58 | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Rockdale Ilinden FC | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Sydney Olympic | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sydney FC U21 (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
University NSW
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Sydney FC U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/06 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | D |
| 05/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in University NSW vs Sydney FC U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a University NSW win (39%). Probabilities: University NSW 39%, draw 27%, Sydney FC U21 33%.
How many goals are expected in University NSW vs Sydney FC U21?
The model expects 2.62 goals (University NSW 1.37 · Sydney FC U21 1.25), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in University NSW vs Sydney FC U21?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.