Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 18/07, 09:00
Prediction: Inner West Hawks vs Parramatta Eagles
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Inner West Hawks1.31
Parramatta Eagles1.94
1X2
Inner West Hawks
Draw
Parramatta Eagles
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Inner West Hawks
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Parramatta Eagles
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Inner West Hawks
1–2–2
Parramatta Eagles
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inner West Hawks 1454 · Parramatta Eagles 1504
| Inner West Hawks | Draw | Parramatta Eagles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Parramatta Eagles (rating 1454 vs 1504).
- H2H favours Parramatta Eagles: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inner West Hawks | Parramatta Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.7 | 2.5 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 1.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inner West Hawks 1–2–2 Parramatta Eagles
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Inner West Hawks |
| 24/05/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Inner West Hawks | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Parramatta Eagles |
| 08/02/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Inner West Hawks |
| 15/06/24 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Inner West Hawks | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Parramatta Eagles |
| 09/03/24 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Inner West Hawks |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mounties Wanderers | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 74 | 21 | 53 |
| 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 31 | 36 |
| 3 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 35 |
| 4 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 30 | 34 |
| 5 | Fraser Park | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 33 |
| 6 | Western Rage | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 48 | 32 |
| 7 | Sydney University | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 31 |
| 8 | Hawkesbury City SC | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 53 | 30 |
| 9 | South Coast Flame FC | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 27 | 30 |
| 10 | Central Coast United FC | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 34 | 29 |
| 11 | Nepean FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 45 | 27 |
| 12 | Inner West Hawks | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 37 | 25 |
| 13 | Gladesville Ryde Magic | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 50 | 25 |
| 14 | Bankstown United FC | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 40 | 21 |
| 15 | Camden Tigers SC | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 61 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inner West Hawks | Parramatta Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Fraser Park | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Camden Tigers SC | 1-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Sydney University | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Gladesville Ryde Magic | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Western Rage | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Nepean FC | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Central Coast United FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 2-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Parramatta Eagles (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inner West Hawks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/06 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 13/06 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
Parramatta Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/06 | Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-4 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inner West Hawks vs Parramatta Eagles?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Parramatta Eagles win (52%). Probabilities: Inner West Hawks 25%, draw 23%, Parramatta Eagles 52%.
How many goals are expected in Inner West Hawks vs Parramatta Eagles?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Inner West Hawks 1.31 · Parramatta Eagles 1.94), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Inner West Hawks vs Parramatta Eagles?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.