Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 25/07, 09:00

Prediction: South Coast Flame FC vs Inner West Hawks

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

South Coast Flame FC1.59

Inner West Hawks1.13

1X2

48% 25% 27%

South Coast Flame FC Draw Inner West Hawks

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

South Coast Flame FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Inner West Hawks 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

South Coast Flame FC 1–1–3 Inner West Hawks (5 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · South Coast Flame FC 1471 · Inner West Hawks 1449

	South Coast Flame FC	Draw	Inner West Hawks
Our model	47%	27%	26%
Market	49%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Inner West Hawks: 3-1-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	South Coast Flame FC	Inner West Hawks
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.7	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.9	1.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:06 +2’	1.83	3.80	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · South Coast Flame FC 1–1–3 Inner West Hawks

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 2	Inner West Hawks	1-0 HT 1-0	South Coast Flame FC
12/07/25 Australia New South Wales League 2	Inner West Hawks	3-6 HT 3-3	South Coast Flame FC
29/03/25 Australia New South Wales League 2	South Coast Flame FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Inner West Hawks
29/06/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	South Coast Flame FC	0-3 HT 0-2	Inner West Hawks
23/03/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Inner West Hawks	3-1 HT 3-0	South Coast Flame FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mounties Wanderers	22	18	2	2	80	22	56
2	Parramatta Eagles	22	12	3	7	51	33	39
3	Fraser Park	22	10	6	6	40	27	36
4	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	22	11	3	8	40	36	36
5	Sydney University	23	10	4	9	38	30	34
6	Dunbar Rovers FC	22	10	4	8	38	30	34
7	Central Coast United FC	22	9	5	8	35	35	32
8	Western Rage	21	9	5	7	43	48	32
9	South Coast Flame FC	22	8	7	7	28	27	31
10	Hawkesbury City SC	21	9	3	9	39	53	30
11	Nepean FC	22	8	3	11	39	50	27
12	Inner West Hawks	23	7	4	12	33	41	25
13	Gladesville Ryde Magic	23	8	1	14	36	56	25
14	Bankstown United FC	22	5	6	11	26	43	21
15	Camden Tigers SC	23	1	6	16	29	64	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	South Coast Flame FC	Inner West Hawks
Bankstown United FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Central Coast United FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Camden Tigers SC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Hawkesbury City SC	1-1 D	0-2 L
Sydney University	2-3 L	2-2 D
Nepean FC	1-4 L	2-2 D
Gladesville Ryde Magic	1-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Inner West Hawks (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

South Coast Flame FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
11/07	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
04/07	Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	1-0	11	9	W
27/06	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/06	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/06	Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-3	1-4	6	4	L
30/05	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	1-2	2-3	4	1	L
22/05	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	1-4	7	5	L
17/05	Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
09/05	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	1-2	1-3	12	2	L

Inner West Hawks

LWDLLDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	2-4	4	2	L
10/07	Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	1-3	6	5	L
04/07	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
27/06	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
19/06	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	0-2	2-2	7	8	D
13/06	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
06/06	Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
29/05	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	2-2	4	2	D
23/05	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
15/05	Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-2	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in South Coast Flame FC vs Inner West Hawks?

According to our model, the most likely result is a South Coast Flame FC win (48%). Probabilities: South Coast Flame FC 48%, draw 25%, Inner West Hawks 27%.

How many goals are expected in South Coast Flame FC vs Inner West Hawks?

The model expects 2.72 goals (South Coast Flame FC 1.59 · Inner West Hawks 1.13), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in South Coast Flame FC vs Inner West Hawks?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.