Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 24/07, 12:00

Prediction: Fraser Park vs Gladesville Ryde Magic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Fraser Park2.3

Gladesville Ryde Magic1.2

1X2

62% 20% 18%

Fraser Park Draw Gladesville Ryde Magic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fraser Park 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Gladesville Ryde Magic 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Fraser Park 5–1 Gladesville Ryde Magic (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fraser Park 1519 · Gladesville Ryde Magic 1463

	Fraser Park	Draw	Gladesville Ryde Magic
Our model	61%	21%	18%
Market	62%	19%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fraser Park (rating 1519 vs 1463).
H2H favours Fraser Park: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fraser Park	Gladesville Ryde Magic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.9	1.7 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.3	1.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.75

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:02 +4’	1.44	4.75	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fraser Park 5–0–1 Gladesville Ryde Magic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 2	Gladesville Ryde Magic	0-2 HT 0-2	Fraser Park
26/07/25 Australia New South Wales League 2	Gladesville Ryde Magic	1-2 HT 0-1	Fraser Park
12/04/25 Australia New South Wales League 2	Fraser Park	2-1 HT 2-0	Gladesville Ryde Magic
13/07/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Gladesville Ryde Magic	1-4 HT 1-3	Fraser Park
06/04/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Fraser Park	5-1 HT 3-0	Gladesville Ryde Magic
02/09/18 Australia New South Wales League 3	Gladesville Ryde Magic	13-1 HT 6-0	Fraser Park

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mounties Wanderers	22	18	2	2	80	22	56
2	Parramatta Eagles	22	12	3	7	51	33	39
3	Fraser Park	22	10	6	6	40	27	36
4	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	22	11	3	8	40	36	36
5	Sydney University	23	10	4	9	38	30	34
6	Dunbar Rovers FC	22	10	4	8	38	30	34
7	Central Coast United FC	22	9	5	8	35	35	32
8	Western Rage	21	9	5	7	43	48	32
9	South Coast Flame FC	22	8	7	7	28	27	31
10	Hawkesbury City SC	21	9	3	9	39	53	30
11	Nepean FC	22	8	3	11	39	50	27
12	Inner West Hawks	23	7	4	12	33	41	25
13	Gladesville Ryde Magic	23	8	1	14	36	56	25
14	Bankstown United FC	22	5	6	11	26	43	21
15	Camden Tigers SC	23	1	6	16	29	64	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fraser Park	Gladesville Ryde Magic
Nepean FC	5-4 W	3-2 W
Inner West Hawks	3-1 W	2-0 W
Sydney University	0-2 L	1-0 W
Hawkesbury City SC	1-1 D	1-4 L
Mounties Wanderers	1-4 L	1-6 L
Bonnyrigg White Eagles	1-0 W	0-2 L
Camden Tigers SC	2-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fraser Park (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fraser Park

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	4-0	5-4	3	4	W
10/07	Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	3-1	11	5	W
27/06	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
20/06	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/06	Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	1-4	2	1	L
05/06	Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/05	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	1-1	9	7	D
27/05	Sydney Olympic Australia Cup Qualifying	2-0	2-3	3	1	L
22/05	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	2-0	11	7	W
16/05	Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-2	1-3	5	0	L

Gladesville Ryde Magic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	1-6	3	0	L
11/07	Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
04/07	Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-2	2	0	L
27/06	Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
20/06	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	3-2	8	2	W
13/06	Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/06	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	3-0	4-1	2	3	W
03/06	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	1-4	3	2	L
23/05	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
09/05	South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	3-1	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fraser Park vs Gladesville Ryde Magic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fraser Park win (62%). Probabilities: Fraser Park 62%, draw 20%, Gladesville Ryde Magic 18%.

How many goals are expected in Fraser Park vs Gladesville Ryde Magic?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Fraser Park 2.3 · Gladesville Ryde Magic 1.2), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fraser Park vs Gladesville Ryde Magic?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.