Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 26/07, 09:00

Prediction: Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Dunbar Rovers FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Bonnyrigg White Eagles1.53

Dunbar Rovers FC1.4

1X2

40% 25% 35%

Bonnyrigg White Eagles Draw Dunbar Rovers FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bonnyrigg White Eagles 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLLWLWWD

Dunbar Rovers FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWDDDW

Head-to-head

Bonnyrigg White Eagles 3–2 Dunbar Rovers FC (5 last)

Dunbar Rovers FC1-0Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Bonnyrigg White Eagles1-0Dunbar Rovers FC
Dunbar Rovers FC3-2Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bonnyrigg White Eagles 1519 · Dunbar Rovers FC 1533

	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	Draw	Dunbar Rovers FC
Our model	39%	27%	34%
Market	41%	24%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bonnyrigg White Eagles: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	Dunbar Rovers FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.7	1.3 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.75

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:07 +9’	2.20	3.75	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bonnyrigg White Eagles 3–0–2 Dunbar Rovers FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 2	Dunbar Rovers FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Bonnyrigg White Eagles
30/07/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	1-0 HT 0-0	Dunbar Rovers FC
16/03/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Dunbar Rovers FC	3-2 HT 1-0	Bonnyrigg White Eagles
03/06/23 Australia New South Wales League 1	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	3-1 HT 1-1	Dunbar Rovers FC
18/02/23 Australia New South Wales League 1	Dunbar Rovers FC	0-6 HT 0-2	Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mounties Wanderers	22	18	2	2	80	22	56
2	Parramatta Eagles	22	12	3	7	51	33	39
3	Fraser Park	22	10	6	6	40	27	36
4	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	22	11	3	8	40	36	36
5	Sydney University	23	10	4	9	38	30	34
6	Dunbar Rovers FC	22	10	4	8	38	30	34
7	Central Coast United FC	22	9	5	8	35	35	32
8	Western Rage	21	9	5	7	43	48	32
9	South Coast Flame FC	22	8	7	7	28	27	31
10	Hawkesbury City SC	21	9	3	9	39	53	30
11	Nepean FC	22	8	3	11	39	50	27
12	Inner West Hawks	23	7	4	12	33	41	25
13	Gladesville Ryde Magic	23	8	1	14	36	56	25
14	Bankstown United FC	22	5	6	11	26	43	21
15	Camden Tigers SC	23	1	6	16	29	64	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	Dunbar Rovers FC
South Coast Flame FC	0-0 D	4-1 W
Hawkesbury City SC	2-1 W	2-3 L
Western Rage	2-3 L	1-1 D
Bankstown United FC	3-1 W	0-1 L
Fraser Park	0-1 L	3-1 W
Mounties Wanderers	0-7 L	1-1 D
Central Coast United FC	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dunbar Rovers FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bonnyrigg White Eagles

WWDLLWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
11/07	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
04/07	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
28/06	Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
20/06	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/06	Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
30/05	Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2	0-3	0-7	–	–	L
23/05	Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
16/05	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
09/05	Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	4-2	5	3	W

Dunbar Rovers FC

LWLLWWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	3-0	5	2	W
04/07	Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
27/06	Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/06	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/06	South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2	3-0	4-1	4	4	W
30/05	Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
23/05	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
16/05	Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	3-1	4	0	W
09/05	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	0-1	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Dunbar Rovers FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bonnyrigg White Eagles win (40%). Probabilities: Bonnyrigg White Eagles 40%, draw 25%, Dunbar Rovers FC 35%.

How many goals are expected in Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Dunbar Rovers FC?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Bonnyrigg White Eagles 1.53 · Dunbar Rovers FC 1.4), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Dunbar Rovers FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.