Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 18/07, 09:00
Prediction: Gladesville Ryde Magic vs Mounties Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.25Total
Gladesville Ryde Magic1.13
Mounties Wanderers3.13
1X2
Gladesville Ryde Magic
Draw
Mounties Wanderers
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Gladesville Ryde Magic
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Mounties Wanderers
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gladesville Ryde Magic
0–2
Mounties Wanderers
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gladesville Ryde Magic 1486 · Mounties Wanderers 1599
| Gladesville Ryde Magic | Draw | Mounties Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 7% | 10% | 83% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.25 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mounties Wanderers (rating 1486 vs 1599).
- H2H favours Mounties Wanderers: 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gladesville Ryde Magic | Mounties Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.9 | 3.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 1.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gladesville Ryde Magic 0–0–2 Mounties Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Mounties Wanderers | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Gladesville Ryde Magic |
| 10/07/24 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Gladesville Ryde Magic | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Mounties Wanderers |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mounties Wanderers | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 74 | 21 | 53 |
| 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 31 | 36 |
| 3 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 35 |
| 4 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 30 | 34 |
| 5 | Fraser Park | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 33 |
| 6 | Western Rage | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 48 | 32 |
| 7 | Sydney University | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 31 |
| 8 | Hawkesbury City SC | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 53 | 30 |
| 9 | South Coast Flame FC | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 27 | 30 |
| 10 | Central Coast United FC | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 34 | 29 |
| 11 | Nepean FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 45 | 27 |
| 12 | Inner West Hawks | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 37 | 25 |
| 13 | Gladesville Ryde Magic | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 50 | 25 |
| 14 | Bankstown United FC | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 40 | 21 |
| 15 | Camden Tigers SC | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 61 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gladesville Ryde Magic | Mounties Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 0-2 L | 7-0 W |
| Parramatta Eagles | 1-2 L | 6-0 W |
| Central Coast United FC | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Nepean FC | 3-2 W | 4-2 W |
| Camden Tigers SC | 4-1 W | 6-0 W |
| Hawkesbury City SC | 1-4 L | 4-0 W |
| South Coast Flame FC | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Mounties Wanderers (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gladesville Ryde Magic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/06 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Mounties Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
3-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/06 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/06 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gladesville Ryde Magic vs Mounties Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Mounties Wanderers win (80%). Probabilities: Gladesville Ryde Magic 8%, draw 12%, Mounties Wanderers 80%.
How many goals are expected in Gladesville Ryde Magic vs Mounties Wanderers?
The model expects 4.25 goals (Gladesville Ryde Magic 1.13 · Mounties Wanderers 3.13), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gladesville Ryde Magic vs Mounties Wanderers?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.