Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 01/08, 10:30

Prediction: Rydalmere Lions FC vs Newcastle Jets NPL

Team pages: Rydalmere Lions FC · Newcastle Jets NPL

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Rydalmere Lions FC1.9

Newcastle Jets NPL1.51

1X2

46% 23% 30%

Rydalmere Lions FC Draw Newcastle Jets NPL

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Rydalmere Lions FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Newcastle Jets NPL 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Rydalmere Lions FC 1–1–1 Newcastle Jets NPL (3 last)

Newcastle Jets NPL1-2Rydalmere Lions FC
Newcastle Jets NPL4-4Rydalmere Lions FC
Rydalmere Lions FC0-4Newcastle Jets NPL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rydalmere Lions FC 1509 · Newcastle Jets NPL 1429

	Rydalmere Lions FC	Draw	Newcastle Jets NPL
Our model	46%	24%	30%
Market	47%	22%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rydalmere Lions FC (rating 1509 vs 1429).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rydalmere Lions FC	Newcastle Jets NPL
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.6 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.4	1.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X4.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
08:06 +5’	1.91	4.00	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rydalmere Lions FC 1–1–1 Newcastle Jets NPL

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Newcastle Jets NPL	1-2 HT 0-1	Rydalmere Lions FC
12/07/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Newcastle Jets NPL	4-4 HT 2-3	Rydalmere Lions FC
29/03/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Rydalmere Lions FC	0-4 HT 0-1	Newcastle Jets NPL

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	25	17	5	3	63	31	56
2	Northern Tigers	25	13	7	5	43	25	46
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	25	14	4	7	47	38	46
4	Macarthur Rams	25	12	6	7	33	27	42
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	25	12	5	8	58	41	41
6	Rydalmere Lions FC	25	10	7	8	37	35	37
7	Hills United FC	25	10	6	9	43	41	36
8	Bulls FC Academy	25	11	3	11	47	40	36
9	Hakoah Sydney City East	25	8	9	8	42	40	33
10	Hurstville FC	25	9	6	10	39	40	33
11	Central Coast Mariners U21	25	7	6	12	41	50	27
12	Inter Lions	25	7	5	13	30	47	26
13	Newcastle Jets NPL	25	6	8	11	47	56	26
14	Dulwich Hill	25	6	8	11	31	47	26
15	Prospect United	25	2	13	10	24	44	19
16	Western City Rangers	25	5	4	16	29	52	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rydalmere Lions FC	Newcastle Jets NPL
Inter Lions	4-0 W	1-2 L
Western City Rangers	1-0 W	2-3 L
Blacktown Spartans	1-3 L	2-7 L
Canterbury Bankstown FC	1-5 L	5-6 L
Bulls FC Academy	1-0 W	0-1 L
Macarthur Rams	0-1 L	0-1 L
Hurstville FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Rydalmere Lions FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rydalmere Lions FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
18/07	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	4-0	7	3	W
11/07	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
05/07	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/06	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
20/06	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	1-5	9	1	L
13/06	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
06/06	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-1	10	7	L
30/05	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
23/05	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-2	2-2	5	5	D

Newcastle Jets NPL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
18/07	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	2-3	4	5	L
11/07	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
04/07	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-7	–	–	L
27/06	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-2	0	1	L
20/06	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
13/06	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-3	5-6	4	1	L
06/06	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-2	10	3	D
30/05	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-1	0	0	L
23/05	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-1	9	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rydalmere Lions FC vs Newcastle Jets NPL?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rydalmere Lions FC win (46%). Probabilities: Rydalmere Lions FC 46%, draw 23%, Newcastle Jets NPL 30%.

How many goals are expected in Rydalmere Lions FC vs Newcastle Jets NPL?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Rydalmere Lions FC 1.9 · Newcastle Jets NPL 1.51), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Rydalmere Lions FC vs Newcastle Jets NPL?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.