Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 07/08, 12:15

Prediction: Blacktown Spartans vs Inter Lions

Team pages: Blacktown Spartans · Inter Lions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

Blacktown Spartans2.4

Inter Lions1.25

1X2

62% 20% 18%

Blacktown Spartans Draw Inter Lions

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Blacktown Spartans 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WLWDWWWWWW

Inter Lions 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLDLDW

Head-to-head

Blacktown Spartans 3–3 Inter Lions (6 last)

Inter Lions1-2Blacktown Spartans
Blacktown Spartans1-3Inter Lions
Inter Lions1-0Blacktown Spartans
Inter Lions2-3Blacktown Spartans
Blacktown Spartans3-2Inter Lions
Blacktown Spartans1-2Inter Lions

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blacktown Spartans 1609 · Inter Lions 1479

	Blacktown Spartans	Draw	Inter Lions
Our model	62%	20%	18%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blacktown Spartans (rating 1609 vs 1479).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Blacktown Spartans	Inter Lions
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1	1.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.2	2.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:41 +7’	1.44	4.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Blacktown Spartans 3–0–3 Inter Lions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Inter Lions	1-2 HT 1-0	Blacktown Spartans
01/08/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Blacktown Spartans	1-3 HT 1-1	Inter Lions
19/04/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Inter Lions	1-0 HT 1-0	Blacktown Spartans
24/08/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Inter Lions	2-3 HT 0-2	Blacktown Spartans
18/05/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Blacktown Spartans	3-2 HT 0-1	Inter Lions
05/08/23 Australia New South Wales League 1	Blacktown Spartans	1-2 HT 0-1	Inter Lions

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	26	18	5	3	65	32	59
2	Northern Tigers	26	14	7	5	46	26	49
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	26	14	5	7	49	40	47
4	Macarthur Rams	26	13	6	7	34	27	45
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	26	12	6	8	61	44	42
6	Rydalmere Lions FC	26	10	8	8	38	36	38
7	Hills United FC	26	10	7	9	45	43	37
8	Bulls FC Academy	26	11	3	12	47	41	36
9	Hakoah Sydney City East	26	9	9	8	51	40	36
10	Hurstville FC	26	9	6	11	40	43	33
11	Inter Lions	26	8	5	13	34	48	29
12	Central Coast Mariners U21	26	7	6	13	42	54	27
13	Newcastle Jets NPL	26	6	9	11	48	57	27
14	Dulwich Hill	26	6	9	11	34	50	27
15	Prospect United	26	2	13	11	25	46	19
16	Western City Rangers	26	5	4	17	29	61	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Blacktown Spartans	Inter Lions
Prospect United	2-1 W	1-1 D
Northern Tigers	3-0 W	0-1 L
Canterbury Bankstown FC	2-1 W	2-4 L
Central Coast Mariners U21	2-0 W	4-1 W
Newcastle Jets NPL	7-2 W	2-1 W
Rydalmere Lions FC	3-1 W	0-4 L
Western City Rangers	4-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Blacktown Spartans (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Blacktown Spartans

WLWDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-1	6	1	W
25/07	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	3-0	3-0	4	1	W
18/07	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
12/07	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	2-0	7	1	W
04/07	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	7-2	–	–	W
26/06	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
20/06	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-1	11	2	D
12/06	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	4-1	4	1	W
06/06	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
29/05	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	4-0	4-1	6	1	W

Inter Lions

LWLWWLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	4-1	4	0	W
25/07	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
18/07	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	0-4	8	3	L
11/07	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	2-2	4	4	D
04/07	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	2-3	3	4	L
27/06	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	2-1	7	1	W
20/06	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
13/06	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
06/06	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
30/05	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	2-4	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blacktown Spartans vs Inter Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Blacktown Spartans win (62%). Probabilities: Blacktown Spartans 62%, draw 20%, Inter Lions 18%.

How many goals are expected in Blacktown Spartans vs Inter Lions?

The model expects 3.64 goals (Blacktown Spartans 2.4 · Inter Lions 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Blacktown Spartans vs Inter Lions?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.