Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 08/08, 09:00

Prediction: Dulwich Hill vs Macarthur Rams

Team pages: Dulwich Hill · Macarthur Rams

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Dulwich Hill1.27

Macarthur Rams1.77

1X2

27% 24% 48%

Dulwich Hill Draw Macarthur Rams

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Dulwich Hill 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LDDDLDLLWD

Macarthur Rams 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWDWLW

Head-to-head

Dulwich Hill 3–3–0 Macarthur Rams (6 last)

Macarthur Rams0-2Dulwich Hill
Dulwich Hill1-0Macarthur Rams
Macarthur Rams0-0Dulwich Hill
Dulwich Hill3-3Macarthur Rams
Macarthur Rams2-2Dulwich Hill
Dulwich Hill2-1Macarthur Rams

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dulwich Hill 1474 · Macarthur Rams 1529

	Dulwich Hill	Draw	Macarthur Rams
Our model	27%	26%	48%
Market	28%	24%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Macarthur Rams (rating 1474 vs 1529).
H2H favours Dulwich Hill: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dulwich Hill	Macarthur Rams
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.4	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.5	2.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.80

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:09 +3’	3.25	3.80	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dulwich Hill 3–3–0 Macarthur Rams

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Macarthur Rams	0-2 HT 0-0	Dulwich Hill
19/07/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Dulwich Hill	1-0 HT 0-0	Macarthur Rams
05/04/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Macarthur Rams	0-0 HT 0-0	Dulwich Hill
29/06/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Dulwich Hill	3-3 HT 0-1	Macarthur Rams
23/03/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Macarthur Rams	2-2 HT 2-1	Dulwich Hill
05/08/23 Australia New South Wales League 1	Dulwich Hill	2-1 HT 1-0	Macarthur Rams

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	26	18	5	3	65	32	59
2	Northern Tigers	26	14	7	5	46	26	49
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	26	14	5	7	49	40	47
4	Macarthur Rams	26	13	6	7	34	27	45
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	26	12	6	8	61	44	42
6	Rydalmere Lions FC	26	10	8	8	38	36	38
7	Hills United FC	26	10	7	9	45	43	37
8	Bulls FC Academy	26	11	3	12	47	41	36
9	Hakoah Sydney City East	26	9	9	8	51	40	36
10	Hurstville FC	26	9	6	11	40	43	33
11	Inter Lions	26	8	5	13	34	48	29
12	Central Coast Mariners U21	26	7	6	13	42	54	27
13	Newcastle Jets NPL	26	6	9	11	48	57	27
14	Dulwich Hill	26	6	9	11	34	50	27
15	Prospect United	26	2	13	11	25	46	19
16	Western City Rangers	26	5	4	17	29	61	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dulwich Hill	Macarthur Rams
Hurstville FC	1-3 L	1-2 L
Bulls FC Academy	3-5 L	1-0 W
Bankstown City Lions FC	2-2 D	1-1 D
Prospect United	0-0 D	2-1 W
Central Coast Mariners U21	1-1 D	1-0 W
Hills United FC	0-6 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Macarthur Rams (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dulwich Hill

LDDDLDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	3-3	2	3	D
25/07	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	4-0	5	1	W
17/07	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-3	8	4	L
11/07	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	3-5	9	4	L
04/07	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	2-2	2	2	D
27/06	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	1-3	2	1	L
20/06	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
14/06	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
06/06	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
30/05	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-3	0-6	4	0	L

Macarthur Rams

WWLWDWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-2	7	8	L
17/07	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
10/07	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-1	3	7	D
04/07	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	3-2	4	4	W
27/06	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
13/06	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
06/06	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
30/05	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dulwich Hill vs Macarthur Rams?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Macarthur Rams win (48%). Probabilities: Dulwich Hill 27%, draw 24%, Macarthur Rams 48%.

How many goals are expected in Dulwich Hill vs Macarthur Rams?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Dulwich Hill 1.27 · Macarthur Rams 1.77), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dulwich Hill vs Macarthur Rams?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.