Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 08/08, 09:00

Prediction: Bankstown City Lions FC vs Hurstville FC

Team pages: Bankstown City Lions FC · Hurstville FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Bankstown City Lions FC2.12

Hurstville FC1.18

1X2

58% 22% 20%

Bankstown City Lions FC Draw Hurstville FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bankstown City Lions FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDDWWD

Hurstville FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLDWWL

Head-to-head

Bankstown City Lions FC 2–0 Hurstville FC (2 last)

Hurstville FC2-3Bankstown City Lions FC
Hurstville FC0-5Bankstown City Lions FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bankstown City Lions FC 1568 · Hurstville FC 1488

	Bankstown City Lions FC	Draw	Hurstville FC
Our model	58%	22%	19%
Market	59%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bankstown City Lions FC (rating 1568 vs 1488).
H2H favours Bankstown City Lions FC: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bankstown City Lions FC	Hurstville FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.5	2.3 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.20

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:09 +3’	1.53	4.20	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bankstown City Lions FC 2–0–0 Hurstville FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Hurstville FC	2-3 HT 0-0	Bankstown City Lions FC
02/02/20 Australia Friendlies	Hurstville FC	0-5 HT 0-5	Bankstown City Lions FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	26	18	5	3	65	32	59
2	Northern Tigers	26	14	7	5	46	26	49
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	26	14	5	7	49	40	47
4	Macarthur Rams	26	13	6	7	34	27	45
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	26	12	6	8	61	44	42
6	Rydalmere Lions FC	26	10	8	8	38	36	38
7	Hills United FC	26	10	7	9	45	43	37
8	Bulls FC Academy	26	11	3	12	47	41	36
9	Hakoah Sydney City East	26	9	9	8	51	40	36
10	Hurstville FC	26	9	6	11	40	43	33
11	Inter Lions	26	8	5	13	34	48	29
12	Central Coast Mariners U21	26	7	6	13	42	54	27
13	Newcastle Jets NPL	26	6	9	11	48	57	27
14	Dulwich Hill	26	6	9	11	34	50	27
15	Prospect United	26	2	13	11	25	46	19
16	Western City Rangers	26	5	4	17	29	61	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bankstown City Lions FC	Hurstville FC
Hills United FC	2-2 D	2-1 W
Canterbury Bankstown FC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Bulls FC Academy	5-0 W	1-4 L
Macarthur Rams	1-1 D	2-1 W
Dulwich Hill	2-2 D	3-1 W
Western City Rangers	3-2 W	1-1 D
Northern Tigers	1-1 D	1-3 L
Hakoah Sydney City East	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bankstown City Lions FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bankstown City Lions FC

WDLWWDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-2	2	3	D
25/07	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-1	5	3	W
18/07	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
10/07	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-1	2	7	D
04/07	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	2-2	6	2	D
27/06	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
20/06	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
12/06	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-4	4	1	L
06/06	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
30/05	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-1	3	6	W

Hurstville FC

WLDLWLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	1-3	9	2	L
25/07	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-1	6	8	W
17/07	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
11/07	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
03/07	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
27/06	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
20/06	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
13/06	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-1	10	3	D
06/06	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
30/05	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bankstown City Lions FC vs Hurstville FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bankstown City Lions FC win (58%). Probabilities: Bankstown City Lions FC 58%, draw 22%, Hurstville FC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Bankstown City Lions FC vs Hurstville FC?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Bankstown City Lions FC 2.12 · Hurstville FC 1.18), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bankstown City Lions FC vs Hurstville FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.