Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 08/08, 08:30

Prediction: Northern Tigers vs Rydalmere Lions FC

Team pages: Northern Tigers · Rydalmere Lions FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Northern Tigers1.72

Rydalmere Lions FC0.92

1X2

56% 24% 20%

Northern Tigers Draw Rydalmere Lions FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Northern Tigers 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWDWLW

Rydalmere Lions FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWWLD

Head-to-head

Northern Tigers 1–3–2 Rydalmere Lions FC (6 last)

Rydalmere Lions FC0-0Northern Tigers
Northern Tigers1-3Rydalmere Lions FC
Rydalmere Lions FC5-0Northern Tigers
Rydalmere Lions FC2-2Northern Tigers
Northern Tigers2-2Rydalmere Lions FC
Northern Tigers3-2Rydalmere Lions FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Northern Tigers 1540 · Rydalmere Lions FC 1505

	Northern Tigers	Draw	Rydalmere Lions FC
Our model	55%	26%	19%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Rydalmere Lions FC: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Northern Tigers	Rydalmere Lions FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.7	3.4 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.00

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:09 +3’	1.57	4.00	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Northern Tigers 1–3–2 Rydalmere Lions FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Rydalmere Lions FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Northern Tigers
09/08/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Northern Tigers	1-3 HT 0-1	Rydalmere Lions FC
26/04/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Rydalmere Lions FC	5-0 HT 2-0	Northern Tigers
25/05/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Rydalmere Lions FC	2-2 HT 1-0	Northern Tigers
17/02/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Northern Tigers	2-2 HT 2-1	Rydalmere Lions FC
05/08/23 Australia New South Wales League 1	Northern Tigers	3-2 HT 0-0	Rydalmere Lions FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	26	18	5	3	65	32	59
2	Northern Tigers	26	14	7	5	46	26	49
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	26	14	5	7	49	40	47
4	Macarthur Rams	26	13	6	7	34	27	45
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	26	12	6	8	61	44	42
6	Rydalmere Lions FC	26	10	8	8	38	36	38
7	Hills United FC	26	10	7	9	45	43	37
8	Bulls FC Academy	26	11	3	12	47	41	36
9	Hakoah Sydney City East	26	9	9	8	51	40	36
10	Hurstville FC	26	9	6	11	40	43	33
11	Inter Lions	26	8	5	13	34	48	29
12	Central Coast Mariners U21	26	7	6	13	42	54	27
13	Newcastle Jets NPL	26	6	9	11	48	57	27
14	Dulwich Hill	26	6	9	11	34	50	27
15	Prospect United	26	2	13	11	25	46	19
16	Western City Rangers	26	5	4	17	29	61	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Northern Tigers	Rydalmere Lions FC
Hurstville FC	3-1 W	0-1 L
Blacktown Spartans	0-3 L	1-3 L
Central Coast Mariners U21	2-1 W	2-1 W
Newcastle Jets NPL	2-2 D	1-1 D
Hakoah Sydney City East	0-1 L	0-1 L
Inter Lions	1-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rydalmere Lions FC (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Northern Tigers

WDWLWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	3-1	8	2	W
25/07	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	0-3	0-3	7	1	L
19/07	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
11/07	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	2-2	8	5	D
04/07	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
27/06	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	3-1	8	1	W
20/06	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
13/06	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-0	8	5	W
06/06	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
31/05	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	3-0	3	2	W

Rydalmere Lions FC

LLWLLWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
25/07	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
18/07	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	4-0	7	3	W
11/07	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
05/07	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/06	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
20/06	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	1-5	9	1	L
13/06	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
06/06	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-1	10	7	L
30/05	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	0-1	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Northern Tigers vs Rydalmere Lions FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Northern Tigers win (56%). Probabilities: Northern Tigers 56%, draw 24%, Rydalmere Lions FC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Northern Tigers vs Rydalmere Lions FC?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Northern Tigers 1.72 · Rydalmere Lions FC 0.92), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Northern Tigers vs Rydalmere Lions FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.